Election Name: | 2007 Lisbon local by-election |
Type: | parliamentary |
Previous Election: | 2005 Lisbon local elections |
Previous Year: | 2005 |
Next Election: | 2009 Lisbon local election |
Next Year: | 2009 |
Election Date: | 15 July 2007 |
Seats For Election: | All 17 Councillors in the Lisbon City Council |
Majority Seats: | 9 |
Turnout: | 36.7% 16.0 pp |
Opinion Polls: | 2007 Lisbon local by-election#Opinion polling |
Leader1: | António Costa |
Party1: | Socialist Party (Portugal) |
Last Election1: | 5 seats, 26.6% |
Popular Vote1: | 56,732 |
Seats1: | 6 |
Seat Change1: | 1 |
Percentage1: | 29.5% |
Swing1: | 2.9 pp |
Leader2: | Carmona Rodrigues |
Party2: | Independent (politician) |
Alliance2: | Lisbon with Carmona |
Colour2: | CCCCCC |
Last Election2: | Did not contest |
Popular Vote2: | 31,990 |
Seats2: | 3 |
Seat Change2: | New party |
Percentage2: | 16.6% |
Swing2: | New party |
Leader3: | Fernando Negrão |
Party3: | Social Democratic Party (Portugal) |
Last Election3: | 8 seats, 42.4% |
Popular Vote3: | 30,401 |
Seats3: | 3 |
Seat Change3: | 5 |
Percentage3: | 15.8% |
Swing3: | 26.6 pp |
Image4: | CPL |
Leader4: | Helena Roseta |
Party4: | Independent (politician) |
Alliance4: | Citizens for Lisbon |
Colour4: | 00FF00 |
Last Election4: | Did not contest |
Popular Vote4: | 19,754 |
Seats4: | 2 |
Seat Change4: | New party |
Percentage4: | 10.3% |
Swing4: | New party |
Image5: | CDU |
Leader5: | Ruben de Carvalho |
Party5: | Portuguese Communist Party |
Alliance5: | CDU |
Colour5: | ff0000 |
Last Election5: | 2 seats, 11.4% |
Popular Vote5: | 18,163 |
Seats5: | 2 |
Percentage5: | 9.4% |
Swing5: | 2.0 pp |
Image6: | |
Leader6: | José Sá Fernandes |
Party6: | Left Bloc (Portugal) |
Last Election6: | 1 seats, 7.9% |
Popular Vote6: | 13,132 |
Seats6: | 1 |
Percentage6: | 6.8% |
Swing6: | 1.1 pp |
Mayor | |
Before Election: | Marina Ferreira |
Before Party: | Social Democratic Party (Portugal) |
After Election: | António Costa |
After Party: | Socialist Party (Portugal) |
The 2007 Lisbon local by-election was held on 15 July 2007 to elect a new mayor and members of the Lisbon City Council, in order to complete the term started in 2005 following the collapse of Mayor Carmona Rodrigues' local government.
In the first, and still only, mayoral by-election in Lisbon's history, António Costa, by then Minister of Internal Administration under Prime Minister José Sócrates, was elected with almost 30 percent of the votes, electing six councillors, and would complete the term started in 2005 and to be finished by 2009.[1]
The election resulted in a very fragmented local council, with former mayor Carmona Rodrigues Independent movement, Lisbon with Carmona, polling second with around 17 percent of the votes and electing 3 councillors. The Social Democratic Party (PSD) suffered a massive defeat, polling third with less than 16 percent of the votes, a loss of 27 percentage points compared with 2005, and electing only 3 councilors, a loss of five.[2]
Another independent led by Helena Roseta, called Citizens for Lisbon, that congregated center-left to leftwing movements, gathered more than 10 percent of the votes and elected two councillors. The Unitary Democratic Coalition presented Ruben de Carvalho as their mayoral candidate and won 9 percent of the votes and retained the two seats from 2005. The Left Bloc presented José Sá Fernandes as candidate for Mayor, which was reelected as councillor. The CDS – People's Party (CDS–PP) was wiped out from Lisbon City Council.
Turnout was the lowest ever, with just 36.7 percent of voters casting a ballot, a drop of 16 percentage points compared with 2005.
In the 2005 election, the Social Democratic Party led by Carmona Rodrigues, won a landslide victory with 42 percent of the votes and 8 councillors, defeating the Socialist Party candidate, Manuel Maria Carrilho, by a wide margin, which only gain 26.6 percent of the votes and 5 councillors. CDU won 2 councillors, while BE and CDS–PP gained just one.[3]
By 2007, a crisis in the management of the city erupted because of urban development plans regarding a company called Bragaparques. These plans were highly controversial and led to an investigation by the Public Prosecution Office.[4] Then PSD leader, Luís Marques Mendes withdrew his support from Carmona and asked PSD councillors to resign, which led to the fall of Carmona's local government and the calling of a by-election.[5] [6]
Each party or coalition must present a list of candidates. The lists are closed and the seats in each municipality are apportioned according to the D'Hondt method. Unlike in national legislative elections, independent lists are allowed to run.[7]
Party/Coalition | Political position | Candidate[8] | 2005 result | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | ||||||
PPD/PSD | Social Democratic Party | Centre-right | Fernando Negrão | 42.4% | |||
PS | Socialist Party | Centre-left | António Costa | 26.6% | |||
CDU | Unitary Democratic Coalition | Left-wing to far-left | Ruben de Carvalho | 11.4% | |||
BE | Left Bloc | Left-wing to far-left | José Sá Fernandes | 7.9% | |||
CDS–PP | CDS – People's Party | Right-wing | Telmo Correia | 5.9% | |||
PCTP | Portuguese Workers' Communist Party | Far-left | António Garcia Pereira | 1.0% | |||
PNR | National Renovator Party | Far-right | José Pinto Coelho | 0.3% | |||
PND | New Democracy Party | Right-wing | Manuel Monteiro | ||||
PPM | People's Monarchist Party | Right-wing | Gonçalo da Câmara Pereira | ||||
MPT | Earth Party | Centre-right | Pedro Quartin Graça | ||||
LCC | Lisbon with Carmona | Centre-right | Carmona Rodrigues | ||||
CPL | Citizens for Lisbon | Centre-left | Helena Roseta |
Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD | PS | CDU | BE | CDS | LCC | CPL | Lead | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2007 local by-election | data-sort-value="2019-10-06" | 15 Jul 2007 | 15.8 | 29.5 | 9.4 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 16.6 | 10.2 | 8.0 | 12.9 | |||
UCP–CESOP | data-sort-value="2019-10-06" | 15 Jul 2007 | ? | 12.0– 15.0 | 29.0– 34.0 | 9.0– 11.0 | 7.0– 9.0 | 2.0– 4.0 | 15.0– 19.0 | 10.0– 12.0 | – | 14.0– 15.0 | ||
Aximage | 11–12 Jul 2007 | 780 | 16.3 | 34.2 | 10.2 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 16.9 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 17.3 | |||
Intercampus | 6–11 Jul 2007 | 959 | 15.1 | 37.1 | 13.6 | 7.4 | 2.4 | 16.0 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 21.1 | |||
Marktest | 10 Jul 2007 | 610 | 12.3 | 32.0 | 7.0 | 5.8 | 2.1 | 15.8 | 12.1 | 12.9 | 16.2 | |||
Eurosondagem | 8–10 Jul 2007 | 1,559 | 18.4 | 32.5 | 7.7 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 15.9 | 12.1 | 3.9 | 14.1 | |||
CESOP–UCP | 7–10 Jul 2007 | 2,023 | 15 | 33 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 18 | |||
Marktest | 3–4 Jul 2007 | 605 | 13.3 | 34.1 | 7.7 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 15.5 | 14.3 | 7.1 | 18.6 | |||
Intercampus | 29 Jun–4 Jul 2007 | 800 | 17.5 | 34.7 | 12.2 | 6.0 | 3.2 | 14.9 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 17.2 | |||
Aximage | 18–20 Jun 2007 | 550 | 14.1 | 39.8 | 10.2 | 4.8 | 1.8 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 24.8 | |||
Intercampus | 8–13 Jun 2007 | 804 | 19.5 | 31.1 | 9.1 | 9.6 | 2.5 | 13.7 | 9.1 | 5.4 | 11.6 | |||
Data Crítica | 28–29 May 2007 | 600 | 18.6 | 37.4 | 4.7 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 16.0 | 17.0 | 0.5 | 18.8 | |||
Eurosondagem | 21–23 May 2007 | 1,525 | 14.8 | 32.1 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 3.8 | 16.9 | 15.9 | 5.2 | 15.2 | |||
Marktest | 16–17 May 2007 | 600 | 12.1 | 32.0 | 7.8 | 6.4 | 1.1 | 19.9 | 17.2 | 3.6 | 12.1 | |||
2005 local election | data-sort-value="2019-10-06" | 10 Oct 2005 | 42.4 | 26.6 | 11.4 | 7.9 | 5.9 | 5.8 | 15.8 | |||||
|-| colspan="11"||-! rowspan="2" colspan=2 style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=left|Parties! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|Votes! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|%! rowspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align=right|±pp swing! colspan="2" style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align="center"|Councillors|- style="background-color:#E9E9E9"! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align="center"|Total! style="background-color:#E9E9E9" align="center"|±|-|style="width: 9px" bgcolor=#FF66FF align="center" ||align=left|Socialist|56,732||29.49||2.9||6||1|-|style="width: 9px" bgcolor=#CCCCCC align="center" | |align=left|Lisbon with Carmona |31,990||16.63||||3|||-||30,401||15.80||26.6||3||5|-|style="width: 9px" bgcolor=#00FF00 align="center" | |align=left|Citizens for Lisbon |19,754||10.27||||2|||-| |18,163||9.44||2.0||2||0|-| |13,132||6.83||1.1||1||0|-| |7,148||3.72||2.2||0||1|-| |3,021||1.57||0.6||0||0|-| |1,599||0.83||0.5||0||0|-| |1,182||0.61||||0|||-| |1,019||0.53||||0|||-| |730||0.30||||0|||-|colspan=2 width="330" align=left style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total valid|width="50" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|184,871|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|96.11|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|0.5|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|17|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|0|-|colspan=2|Blank ballots|4,622||2.40||0.5||colspan=3 rowspan=4||-|colspan=2|Invalid ballots|2,861||1.49||0.2|-|colspan=2 align=left style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Total|width="50" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|192,354|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|100.00|width="40" align="right" style="background-color:#E9E9E9"||-|colspan=2|Registered voters/turnout||524,140||36.70||16.0|-| colspan=11 align=left | Source: Lisbon 2007 election results|}