2010 Arizona gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2010 Arizona gubernatorial election
Country:Arizona
Type:presidential
Ongoing:Yes
Previous Election:2006 Arizona gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2006
Next Election:2014 Arizona gubernatorial election
Next Year:2014
Election Date:November 2, 2010
Image1:File:Jan Brewer by Gage Skidmore 5.jpg
Nominee1:Jan Brewer
Party1:Republican Party (United States)
Popular Vote1:938,934
Percentage1:54.33%
Nominee2:Terry Goddard
Party2:Democratic Party (United States)
Popular Vote2:733,935
Percentage2:42.43%
Map Size:210px
Governor
Before Election:Jan Brewer
Before Party:Republican Party (United States)
After Election:Jan Brewer
After Party:Republican Party (United States)
Turnout:55.65% 4.82pp [1]

The 2010 Arizona gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010, to elect the Governor of Arizona. Incumbent Republican Jan Brewer ran for a full term. Party primaries were held on August 24, 2010. Jan Brewer won a full term, defeating Arizona Attorney General and Democratic nominee Terry Goddard 54% to 42%.

Background

Democratic Governor Janet Napolitano was term limited and nominated to become Secretary of Homeland Security by President-elect Barack Obama, and was confirmed by the United States Senate on January 20, 2009, resigning as governor the same day.[2] Since Arizona does not have a lieutenant governor, Republican Secretary of State Jan Brewer was first in the state's gubernatorial line of succession and was sworn in as governor upon Napolitano's resignation. Brewer announced on November 5, 2009, that she would seek a full term in 2010.[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Republican primary

The primary to select the 2010 Republican nominee for governor of Arizona was held on August 24, 2010.[5]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredJan Brewer (inc.)Dean Martin*Buz Mills*
Rasmussen ReportsJune 16, 2010 align=center72%12%16%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 17, 2010 align=center45%18%18%
Public Policy PollingApril 23–25, 2010 align=center25%15%11%
align=center58%16%19%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 13, 2010 align=center26%12%18%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 15, 201020% align=center21%19%
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 20, 2010 align=center29%27%
Rasmussen ReportsNovember 18, 200910% align=center22%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 21, 2009 align=center39%26%

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Results

General election

Candidates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
Cook Political Report[11] October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[12] October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[13] November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[15] October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll sourceDates administeredTerry Goddard (D)Jan Brewer (R)
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 28, 201039% align=center53%
Public Policy PollingOctober 23–24, 201044% align=center52%
BRC PollsOctober 11, 201035% align=center38%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 3, 201039% align=center55%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 7, 201038% align=center60%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 25, 201038% align=center57%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 21, 201037% align=center56%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 29, 201035% align=center53%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 17, 201039% align=center52%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 27, 201040% align=center48%
Public Policy PollingApril 23–25, 2010 align=center47%44%
Rasmussen ReportsApril 14, 201040% align=center44%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 16, 2010 align=center45%43%
Rasmussen ReportsJanuary 20, 2010 align=center43%42%
Rasmussen ReportsNovember 18, 2009 align=center44%42%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 27, 2009 align=center42%40%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 7, 2009 align=center46%36%

Debate

On September 1, the first and only debate was held between all four candidates and moderated by Ted Simons. The debate drew national attention after Jan Brewer "stumbled and stammered" through her opening statements. Before the debate the governor had made several comments about there being beheadings in the desert. During the debate Terry Goddard tried to get the governor to admit that it was a false statement. Goddard said quote Jan I'm going to give you an opportunity to admit that was a false statement but of course the governor Steered clear of the question. After the debate reporters were demanding answers, and still she would just not answer the question.[16] After the debate, Brewer stated that she would do no more debates.[17] [18]

Results

County[19] Jan Brewer
Republican
Terry Goddard
Democratic
Barry Hess
Libertarian
Larry Gist
Green
Write-inMarginTotal
votes
data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %data-sort-type="number" data-sort-type="number" %
Apache7,00233.8912,83962.145142.482941.4100.04-5,837-28.2520,659
Cochise24,97462.3213,95434.827421.853980.9920.0011,02027.5040,070
Coconino16,75443.0220,79253.398802.255051.27130.01-4,038-10.3738,942
Gila11,16362.266,15534.324512.511580.8820.015,00827.9417,929
Graham5,99465.482,86531.302202.40740.8000.003,12934.189,153
Greenlee1,18748.481,17748.08602.45240.9800.00100.402,448
La Paz3,04867.311,33029.37801.76701.5400.001,71837.944,528
Maricopa543,04554.78415,14241.8824,0772.428,6000.862800.02127,90312.90991,144
Mohave39,02672.6512,77723.781,3072.436011.1140.0026,24948.8753,715
Navajo16,15754.4912,51742.226482.183171.0670.023,64012.2729,646
Pima148,91647.18158,33750.176480.203170.10160.00-9,421-2.99315,589
Pinal45,80758.2830,10938.3119222.447350.93180.0215,69819.9778,591
Santa Cruz3,19031.766,60865.811381.371051.0400.00-3,418-34.0510,041
Yavapai53,08165.2125,56931.411,8302.249001.1080.0027,51233.8081,388
Yuma19,59057.2213,76440.205001.463801.1020.005,82617.0234,236
Totals938,93454.33733,93542.4338,7222.2416,1280.933620.02204,99911.901,728,081
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

External links

Debates
Official campaign sites

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Voter Registration Statistics | Arizona Secretary of State. 7 May 2023.
  2. Web site: Governor: Napolitano resigns . The Arizona Guardian . January 20, 2009 . September 2, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20110721131443/http://www.arizonaguardian.com/azg/index.php?option=com_content&view=category&layout=blog&id=35&Itemid=58&limitstart=125 . July 21, 2011 . dead . mdy-all .
  3. News: Brewer running for full term as Ariz. governor . Paul . Davenport . . November 5, 2009 . February 18, 2010 . December 31, 2014 . https://web.archive.org/web/20141231171021/http://www.azcentral.com/news/election/azelections/articles/2009/11/05/20091105arizona-governor-ON.html . dead .
  4. Web site: Terry Goddard for Governor – Arizona . Terrygoddard.org . 2010-08-17 . 2010-08-21.
  5. Web site: Arizona Candidates List . Arizona SOS . August 3, 2010 . August 3, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100716003924/http://www.azsos.gov/election/2010/Primary/FullListing.htm . 16 July 2010 . dead .
  6. Web site: Jessica Taylor. Martin drops challenge to Brewer . Politico.Com . 2010-08-21. https://web.archive.org/web/20100801235044/http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0710/39553.html. 1 August 2010 . live.
  7. Web site: Jessica Taylor. Mills drops campaign against Brewer . Politico.Com . 2010-08-21. https://web.archive.org/web/20100801234918/http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0710/39706.html. 1 August 2010 . live.
  8. News: Joe Arpaio won't run for Arizona governor . JJ . Hensley . . May 3, 2010 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100506051958/http://www.azcentral.com/news/election/azelections/articles/2010/05/03/20100503joe-arpaio-arizona-governor-ON.html . May 6, 2010 . dead.
  9. Web site: Arizona Capitol Times " Blog Archive " Munger drops out of governor's race . Azcapitoltimes.com . 2010-08-21 . https://web.archive.org/web/20100701144701/http://azcapitoltimes.com/blog/2010/06/01/munger-drops-out-of-gubernatorial-race . July 1, 2010 . live.
  10. News: Benson . Matthew . Newton . Casey . Casey Newton . Mary Jo Pitzl . October 11, 2009 . Political Insider: Symington won't run in '10 . . https://web.archive.org/web/20100218021224/http://www.azcentral.com/arizonarepublic/local/articles/2009/10/11/20091011politics-insider1011.html . February 18, 2010 . dead.
  11. Web site: 2010 Governors Race Ratings . https://web.archive.org/web/20101028141343/http://cookpolitical.com/charts/governors/raceratings_2010-10-14_12-35-09.php . dead . October 28, 2010 . . October 28, 2010.
  12. Web site: Governor Ratings . . October 28, 2010.
  13. Web site: 2010 Governor Races . . October 28, 2010.
  14. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final Calls . . October 28, 2010.
  15. Web site: Race Ratings Chart: Governor . . October 28, 2010 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20101005231611/http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=ratings-governor . October 5, 2010 .
  16. Web site: Arizona governor stumbles during debate. https://web.archive.org/web/20211224043519/https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna38981701. dead. December 24, 2021. NBC News.
  17. Web site: Category: DC. Talking Points Memo.
  18. Web site: Brewer: No more debates – period. Howard Fischer Capitol Media. Services. Arizona Daily Star.
  19. Web site: Archived copy . 2014-01-06 . dead . https://web.archive.org/web/20130920230737/http://azsos.gov/election/2010/General/Canvass2010GE.pdf . 2013-09-20 .