2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico explained

Election Name:2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Country:New Mexico
Type:legislative
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2014 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico
Next Year:2014
Seats For Election:All 3 New Mexico seats to the United States House of Representatives
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Last Election1:2
Seats1:2
Popular Vote1:422,189
Percentage1:55.11%
Swing1:3.53%
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Last Election2:1
Seats2:1
Popular Vote2:343,269
Percentage2:44.81%
Swing2:3.61%

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, and elected the three U.S. Representatives from the state, one from each of the state's three congressional districts. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in New Mexico, 2012
PartyVotesPercentageSeats beforeSeats after+/–
Democratic422,18955.11%22-
Republican343,26944.81%11-
Independent (Write-in)1730.02%-
Green Party (Write-in)4590.06%-
Totals766,090100%33-

District 1

See also: New Mexico's 1st congressional district. The redrawn 1st district serves the central area of New Mexico, including almost three-fourths of Albuquerque. Incumbent Democrat Martin Heinrich, first elected in 2008, did not seek reelection, but instead ran for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by Jeff Bingaman.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
Disqualified
Declined

Primary results

General election

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Michelle
Lujan Grisham (D)
Janice
Arnold-Jones (R)
Undecided
Research & Polling Inc[15] October 23–25, 2012401± 4.9% align=center51%36%13%
Research & Polling Inc[16] October 9–11, 2012402± 4.9% align=center51%37%12%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)[17] October 8–9, 2012407± 5.0% align=center55%40%5%
Research & Polling Inc[18] September 3–6, 2012409± 4.8% align=center46%34%20%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)[19] July 10–15, 2012502± 4.0% align=center50%42%8%

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[20] November 5, 2012
align=left Rothenberg[21] November 2, 2012
align=left Roll Call[22] November 4, 2012
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] November 5, 2012
align=left NY Times[24] November 4, 2012
RCP[25] November 4, 2012
align=left The Hill[26] November 4, 2012

Results

District 2

See also: New Mexico's 2nd congressional district.

Incumbent Republican Steve Pearce was elected in 2010, having previously served from 2003 until 2009. Pearce sought reelection in 2012.[27]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn
Disqualified
Declined

Primary results

General election

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Steve
Pearce (R)
Evelyn
Madrid Erhard (D)
Undecided
Research & Polling IncOctober 23–25, 2012113± 9.2% align=center56%38%6%
Research & Polling IncOctober 9–11, 2012116± 9.1% align=center55%31%15%
Research & Polling IncSeptember 3–6, 2012119± 9.0% align=center56%30%14%

Results

District 3

See also: New Mexico's 3rd congressional district.

Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Luján was first elected in 2008. In April 2011 Luján declined to enter the U.S. Senate race and instead chose to seek reelection to the House of Representatives.[35]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Primary results

General election

Polling

Poll
source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Ben Ray
Luján (D)
Jefferson
Byrd (R)
Undecided
Research & Polling IncOctober 23–25, 2012148± 8.0% align=center53%35%12%
Research & Polling IncOctober 9–11, 2012140± 8.3% align=center58%34%8%
Research & Polling IncSeptember 3–6, 2012139± 8.3% align=center57%31%12%

Results

External links

Notes and References

  1. News: Heinrich to run for Senate in New Mexico. April 2, 2011. April 20, 2011. The Washington Post. Aaron. Blake.
  2. News: Lujan Grisham wins hotly contested CD-1 primary . . June 6, 2012 . June 5, 2013 . https://web.archive.org/web/20131022114417/http://www.koat.com/news/politics/Lujan-Grisham-wins-hotly-contested-CD-1-primary/-/9153652/14654490/-/12jpxefz/-/index.html . October 22, 2013 . dead . mdy-all .
  3. Web site: Ex-Albuquerque Mayor Marty Chavez Running in 1st District. June 29, 2011. June 29, 2011. Roll Call. Kyle. Trygstad.
  4. Web site: Field grows in race for Heinrich's NM House seat. May 2, 2011. May 4, 2011. The Hill. Sean J.. Miller.
  5. Web site: Balderas won't seek Heinrich's seat. April 13, 2011. April 20, 2011. The New Mexico Independent. Matthew. Reichbach.
  6. Web site: Chávez is running for Congress; Denish isn't. June 29, 2011. June 30, 2011. NMPolitics.net. Heath. Haussamen.
  7. Web site: Keller won't run for Congress. April 19, 2011. April 20, 2011. NMPolitics.net. Heath. Haussamen.
  8. Web site: No Moe in US House race. June 8, 2011. May 13, 2012. Capitol Report New Mexico.
  9. Web site: Second Republican enters Congressional race. July 16, 2011. July 18, 2011. KOB. Danielle. Flores.
  10. Web site: Dan Lewis drops out of congressional race. https://web.archive.org/web/20120322120223/http://www.nmtelegram.com/2012/03/20/dan-lewis-drops-out-of-congressional-race/. usurped. March 22, 2012. March 20, 2012. May 13, 2012. New Mexico Telegram. Matthew. Reichbach.
  11. Web site: Lewis formally enters congressional race. April 4, 2011. April 20, 2011. NMPolitics.net. Heath. Haussamen.
  12. Web site: Sierra Club Backs Eric Griego in New Mexico Primary. November 3, 2011. November 7, 2011. Roll Call. Kyle. Trygstad.
  13. Web site: CD1: District court judge takes Smith off GOP primary ballot. https://web.archive.org/web/20120419181114/http://www.nmtelegram.com/2012/04/16/cd1-district-court-judge-takes-smith-off-gop-primary-ballot/. usurped. April 19, 2012. April 16, 2012. May 13, 2012. New Mexico Telegram. Matthew. Reichbach.
  14. Web site: Barela won't run for CD1 seat. January 21, 2012. January 25, 2012. NMPolitics.net. Heath. Haussamen.
  15. https://web.archive.org/web/20130507094928/http://www.abqjournal.com/main/2012/10/30/news/lujn-leads-in-race-for-house.html Research & Polling Inc
  16. https://web.archive.org/web/20130507083910/http://www.abqjournal.com/main/2012/10/16/news/pearce-has-wide-lead-over-democrat.html Research & Polling Inc
  17. https://web.archive.org/web/20140109214828/http://www.michellelujangrisham.com/files/NMCD1-General-Election-Poll-Results.pdf Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)
  18. https://web.archive.org/web/20130514150123/http://www.abqjournal.com/main/2012/09/10/news/journal-poll.html Research & Polling Inc
  19. https://web.archive.org/web/20140104131838/http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/gqr-d-lujan-grisham-15743 Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Lujan Grisham)
  20. Web site: The Cook Political Report — Charts – 2012 House Competitive Races . Cookpolitical.com . November 5, 2012 . November 6, 2012.
  21. Web site: House Ratings . Rothenbergpoliticalreport.com . November 2, 2012 . November 4, 2012.
  22. http://www.rollcall.com/politics/race-ratings-chart-2012-house-elections.html
  23. http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-house/ Crystal Ball
  24. http://elections.nytimes.com/2012/ratings/house House Race Ratings
  25. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/house/2012_elections_house_map.html
  26. Web site: House Ratings . The Hill . November 4, 2012. November 3, 2012 .
  27. Web site: Pearce re-election committee has balance of $682K. April 17, 2012. May 13, 2012. Las Cruces Sun-News.
  28. Web site: Mesilla Democrat Seeks 2nd Congressional District Seat. December 1, 2011. May 13, 2012. Las Cruces Sun-News. Albuquerque Journal.
  29. Web site: Heinrich, Griego win pre-primaries, Balderas with a strong showing. https://web.archive.org/web/20120317050719/http://www.nmtelegram.com/2012/03/10/heinrich-griego-win-pre-primaries-balderas-with-a-strong-showing/. usurped. March 17, 2012. March 10, 2012. May 13, 2012. New Mexico Telegram. Matthew. Reichbach.
  30. Web site: Sunland Park mayor won't run for Congress. October 7, 2011. October 11, 2011. Alamogordo Daily News. Associated Press.
  31. Web site: Democratic longshot takes on Steve Pearce. November 5, 2011. May 13, 2012. Capitol Report New Mexico. https://web.archive.org/web/20160309051752/http://capitolreportnewmexico.com/?p=6748. March 9, 2016. dead.
  32. Web site: Congressional run isn't likely, Cote says. June 29, 2011. July 18, 2011. NMPolitics.net. Heath. Haussamen.
  33. Web site: Sunland Park mayor running for Congress; Cote might too. May 5, 2011. May 7, 2011. NMPolitics.net. Heath. Haussamen.
  34. Web site: Harry Teague: I won't run again. January 7, 2011. May 13, 2012. Associated Press. KRQE.
  35. Web site: Ben Ray Lujan won't run for Senate. April 25, 2011. April 25, 2011. Politico. David. Catanese.
  36. Web site: Artist, hotel worker takes on Luján in Democratic primary. November 18, 2011. December 3, 2011. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Steve. Terrell.
  37. Web site: Montoya to challenge Luján in CD3 Dem primary. January 20, 2012. January 25, 2012. NMPolitics.net. Heath. Haussamen.
  38. Web site: Congressional candidate urges 2,000-mile barricade along US southern border. May 11, 2012. May 13, 2012. Carlsbad Current-Argus. Milan. Simonich.
  39. Web site: Security-tech entrepreneur seeks to challenge Rep. Luján. October 31, 2011. November 2, 2011. The Santa Fe New Mexican. Steve. Terrell.
  40. http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2012/by_state/NM_US_House_0605.html?SITE=CSPANELN&SECTION=POLITICS AP results