2024 Florida Republican presidential primary explained

Election Name:2024 Florida Republican presidential primary
Country:Florida
Type:presidential
Ongoing:Yes
Previous Election:2020 Florida Republican presidential primary
Previous Year:2020
Next Election:2028 Florida Republican presidential primary
Next Year:2028
Election Date:March 19, 2024[1]
Outgoing Members:AZ
Elected Members:IL
Votes For Election:125 Republican National Convention delegates
Map Size:300px
Image1:Donald Trump 2023 (cropped).jpg
Candidate1:Donald Trump
Color1:283681
Home State1:Florida
Popular Vote1:911,424
Percentage1:81.19%
Delegate Count1:125
Candidate2:Nikki Haley
(withdrawn)
Color2:FE6100
Home State2:South Carolina
Popular Vote2:155,560
Percentage2:13.86%
Delegate Count2:0

The 2024 Florida Republican presidential primary was held on March 19, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 125 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a winner-take-all basis. The contest was held alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio.

Donald Trump won the primary with over 80 percent of the vote, all other candidates having withdrawn.

Candidates

Endorsements

See main article: Endorsements in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries.

Polling

Aggregate polls

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
Chris
Christie
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Asa
Hutchinson
Mike
Pence
Vivek
Ramaswamy
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump
OthersUndecided
Victory Insights[5] Dec 8–9, 20231,220 (LV)± 2.9%5.3%18.8%7.6%1.3%59.5%2.7%4.8%
25.8%56.8%17.4%
Florida Atlantic University
Political Communication & Public Opinion Research Lab
/
Mainstreet Research
[6]
Oct 27 – November 11, 2023400 (RV)1%20%9%0%61%2%6%
30%63%7%
University of North Florida[7] Oct 23 – November 4, 2023788 (LV)± 3.77%2%21%6%<1%1%1%<1%60%<2%8%
29%59%12%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[8] Oct 1–2, 2023500 (LV)2%22%7%1%1%1%57%0%7%
Victory Insights[9] Aug 21–23, 2023590 (LV)± 4.3%4%23%2%2%1%3%1%59%1%7%
30%57%13%
Florida Atlantic University[10] Jun 27 – July 1, 2023315 (RV)2%30%1%2%2%4%3%50%7%
37%54%8%
Breakthrough Research/Sachs Media[11] Jun 9–11, 20232%41%2%0%3%2%0%41%0%8%
Victory Insights[12] May 25–27, 2023700 (LV)± 3.9%38%3%3%0%3%38%4%12%
40%39%21%
National Research[13] May 8–9, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%34%2%0%2%2%1%42%1%16%
Florida Atlantic University[14] Apr 13–14, 20231,081 (RV)± 3.0%31%59%
Victory Insights[15] Apr 6–8, 20231,000 (LV)± 3.1%35%3%1%4%43%14%
32%47%22%
Emerson College[16] Mar 13–15, 20231,153 (RV)± 2.8%44%2%4%1%47%3%
University of North Florida[17] Feb 25 – March 7, 2023550 (RV)± 2.6%59%28%13%
52%4%2%0%27%4%11%
Victory Insights[18] Nov 16–17, 2022700 (LV)± 3.7%47%37%10%
WPA Intelligence[19] Nov 11–13, 20221,044 (LV)56%30%14%
November 8, 20222022 midterm elections
Victory Insights[20] Oct 30 – November 1, 2022229 (LV)± 4.8%50%50%
Suffolk University[21] Sep 15–18, 2022174 (LV)48%40%12%
Echelon Insights[22] Aug 31 – September 7, 2022363 (LV)± 4.3%45%47%8%
University of North Florida[23] Aug 8–12, 2022671 (RV)± 3.4%47%45%8%
WPA IntelligenceAug 7–10, 20221,000 (LV)49%42%9%
Victory Insights[24] Jul 13–14, 2022600 (RV)± 4.1%61%39%0%
Blueprint Polling (D)[25] Jul 7–10, 2022656 (V)± 3.8%51%39%10%
Bendixen/Amandi International[26] March 202232%55%13%
University of North Florida[27] Feb 7–20, 2022259 (RV)44%41%15%
Suffolk University[28] Jan 26–29, 2022176 (LV)40%47%13%
Victory Insights[29] Sep 16–18, 2021200 (LV)30%58%12%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)[30] Aug 4–10, 2021280 (RV)1%34%3%43%10%8%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[31] Feb 15–17, 2021304 (LV)64%22% 14%
January 20, 2021Inauguration of Joe Biden
November 3, 20202020 presidential election
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates[32] July 16–18, 2019280 (LV)37%44%19%

See also

Notes

Partisan clients

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Election Dates. February 6, 2023 . dos.myflorida.com.
  2. Web site: Fineout . Gary . November 22, 2023 . 8 Republicans — including a surprise candidate — make Florida primary ballot . November 23, 2023 . Politico.
  3. Web site: Kashinsky . Lisa . McGraw . Meridith . January 10, 2024 . Christie ends his anti-Trump crusade . January 10, 2024 . Politico.
  4. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-primary-r/2024/florida/ FiveThirtyEight
  5. https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/PollReport_FloridaGOP_12-11-2023.pdf Victory Insights
  6. https://www.fau.edu/artsandletters/fau-polcom-lab/pdfs/mainstreet-florida-november-2023.pdf Florida Atlantic University
    Political Communication & Public Opinion Research Lab/
    Mainstreet Research
  7. https://www.unfporl.org/uploads/1/4/4/5/144559024/unf_porl_fall23_repprim_statewide.pdf University of North Florida
  8. https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/nvav2yb6bjctzlp6lf9cw/10-23-FL-SW-GOP-PV-Survey-TOPLINE-Abbreviated.pdf?rlkey=f87fnkv4bhqyms1hsmcknujex&dl=0 Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
  9. https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/TRUMP_RETAKES_FLORIDA.pdf Victory Insights
  10. https://www.fau.edu/artsandletters/fau-polcom-lab/pdfs/mainstreet-florida-july-2023.pdf Florida Atlantic University
  11. https://floridapolitics.com/archives/618183-last-call-for-6-13-23-a-prime-time-read-of-whats-going-down-in-florida-politics/ Breakthrough Research/Sachs Media
  12. https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/PollReport_May2023_FLGOP.pdf Victory Insights
  13. https://amgreatness.com/app/uploads/2023/05/POLLING-MEMO-FLORIDA.pdf National Research
  14. https://www.fau.edu/newsdesk/articles/april2023-voter-poll.php#.ZF5JCKjlLro.twitter Florida Atlantic University
  15. https://irp.cdn-website.com/07e08705/files/uploaded/PollReport_Apr2023_FLGOP%20(1).pdf Victory Insights
  16. https://emersoncollegepolling.com/florida-2024-trump-and-desantis-in-two-way-race-for-gop-nomination/ Emerson College
  17. https://www.unfporl.org/uploads/1/4/4/5/144559024/unf_mar_statewide_2023.pdf University of North Florida
  18. https://victory-insights.com/files/PublicReport_FL2024_11-21-2022.pdf Victory Insights
  19. https://www.politico.com/news/2022/11/14/club-for-growth-steps-trump-relaunch-desantis-00066820 WPA Intelligence
  20. https://victory-insights.com/files/PollingMemo_FL2022.pdf Victory Insights
  21. https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/other-states/2022/9_21_2022_marginals.pdf Suffolk University
  22. https://netchoice.org/new-national-poll-89-of-americans-say-congress-should-focus-on-addressing-inflation-not-breaking-up-tech/ Echelon Insights
  23. Web site: University of North Florida . February 7, 2023 . February 19, 2023 . https://web.archive.org/web/20230219201639/https://www.unf.edu/uploadedFiles/aa/coas/porl/UNF%20PORL%20August%20Survey.pdf . dead .
  24. https://victory-insights.com/files/PollReport_July2022_FLGOP.pdf Victory Insights
  25. https://blueprintpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/071122-BPP-FL.pdf Blueprint Polling (D)
  26. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/meet-the-press/blog/meet-press-blog-latest-news-analysis-data-driving-political-discussion-n988541 Bendixen/Amandi International
  27. Web site: University of North Florida . February 7, 2023 . July 6, 2022 . https://web.archive.org/web/20220706010240/https://www.unf.edu/uploadedFiles/aa/coas/porl/UNF%20PORL%20Political%20Press%20Release%202-24-22.pdf . dead .
  28. https://www.suffolk.edu/news-features/news/2022/02/01/00/43/suffolk-university-usa-today-florida-poll Suffolk University
  29. https://victory-insights.com/files/FLPresidentialPoll_Sep2021.pdf Victory Insights
  30. https://busr.ag/florida-statewide-poll Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)
  31. https://static.politico.com/f0/de/f81261f94432af1971b9582bc191/thumbnail-image0.jpg Fabrizio, Lee & Associates
  32. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6F93oDvI-xo Fabrizio, Lee & Associates