See main article: 2024 United States presidential election.
| Election Name: | 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana |
| Country: | Louisiana |
| Type: | Presidential |
| Ongoing: | yes |
| Previous Election: | 2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana |
| Previous Year: | 2020 |
| Election Date: | November 5, 2024 |
| Next Election: | 2028 United States presidential election in Louisiana |
| Next Year: | 2028 |
| President | |
| Before Election: | Joe Biden |
| Before Party: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Nominee2: | Kamala Harris |
| Party2: | Democratic Party (United States) |
| Home State2: | California |
| Running Mate2: | Tim Walz |
| Image1: | Donald Trump 2023 (double cropped).jpg |
| Nominee1: | Donald Trump |
| Party1: | Republican Party (United States) |
| Home State1: | Florida |
| Running Mate1: | JD Vance |
The 2024 United States presidential election in Louisiana is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Louisiana voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1]
As a Deep Southern state located largely within the Bible Belt, Louisiana has a conservative voting pattern, with the only Democrats to carry the state's electoral votes after FDR being Adlai Stevenson II in his first bid, John F. Kennedy, fellow Southerner Jimmy Carter in his first bid, and Bill Clinton of neighboring Arkansas.
A strongly red state today, Republicans have won the state in every presidential election since George W. Bush of neighboring Texas did in 2000, doing so by double-digit margins since Bush's 2004 re-election; and since 2008, presidential Democrats have consistently and exclusively carried these parishes: Orleans, home to Louisiana's largest city New Orleans; East Baton Rouge, home to the state capital; Caddo, home to Shreveport; and the rural, predominantly-Black parishes of East Carroll, Madison, Tensas, St. Helena, Iberville, St. James, and St. John the Baptist. Louisiana is expected to again go comfortably towards the Republican candidate in 2024.[2]
See main article: 2024 Louisiana Republican presidential primary. The Louisiana Republican primary was scheduled to be held on March 23, 2024.
See main article: 2024 Louisiana Democratic presidential primary. The Louisiana Democratic primary will be held on March 23, 2024. Alongside primary with Missouri.
The voters of Louisiana cast their ballots for electors, or representatives to the Electoral College, rather than directly for the President and Vice President. Louisiana is allocated eight electors because it has six congressional districts and two senators. All candidates who appear on the ballot must submit a list of eight electors who pledge to vote for their candidate and their running mate. Whoever wins the most votes in the state is awarded all eight electoral votes. Their chosen electors then vote for president and vice president. Although electors are pledged to their candidate and running mate, they are not obligated to vote for them. An elector who votes for someone other than their candidate is known as a faithless elector. There are no laws on the books in Louisiana that prohibit or punish faithless electors.[3]
These electors were nominated by each party in order to vote in the Electoral College should their candidate win the state as of August 1, 2024:[4]
| Source | Ranking | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| align=left | Cook Political Report[5] | December 19, 2023 | |
| align=left | Inside Elections[6] | April 26, 2023 | |
| align=left | Sabato's Crystal Ball[7] | June 29, 2023 | |
| align=left | Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[8] | December 14, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNalysis[9] | December 30, 2023 | |
| align=left | CNN[10] | January 14, 2024 | |
| align=left | The Economist[11] | June 12, 2024 | |
| 538[12] | June 11, 2024 | ||
| RCP[13] | June 26, 2024 |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
| Poll source | Date(s) administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Donald Trump | Joe Biden | Other / Undecided | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faucheux Strategies[14] | data-sort-value=2024-05-10 | April 22–26, 2024 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 52% | 38% | 10% | ||
| Echelon Insights[15] | data-sort-value=2022-09-07 | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 506 (LV) | ± 6.5% | 51% | 36% | 13% |
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden
Partisan clients