2014 Colorado gubernatorial election explained

Election Name:2014 Colorado gubernatorial election
Country:Colorado
Type:presidential
Ongoing:no
Previous Election:2010 Colorado gubernatorial election
Previous Year:2010
Next Election:2018 Colorado gubernatorial election
Next Year:2018
Image1:File:Governor John Hickenlooper 2015.jpg
Nominee1:John Hickenlooper
Party1:Democratic Party (United States)
Running Mate1:Joe Garcia
Popular Vote1:1,006,433
Percentage1:49.30%
Nominee2:Bob Beauprez
Party2:Republican Party (United States)
Running Mate2:Jill Repella
Popular Vote2:938,195
Percentage2:45.95%
Map Size:250px
Governor
Before Election:John Hickenlooper
Before Party:Democratic Party (United States)
After Election:John Hickenlooper
After Party:Democratic Party (United States)

The 2014 Colorado gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Colorado, concurrently with the election to Colorado's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic Governor John Hickenlooper and Lieutenant Governor Joseph García were re-elected to a second term in office, narrowly defeating Republican former U.S. Representative Bob Beauprez and his running mate, Douglas County Commissioner Jill Repella, by 68,000 votes.

Democratic primary

John Hickenlooper was the only Democrat to file to run, and thus at the Democratic state assembly on April 12, 2014, he was renominated unopposed.

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

At the Republican state assembly on April 12, 2014, Mike Kopp and Scott Gessler received 34% and 33% of the votes of over 3,900 delegates, respectively, thus winning a place on the ballot. Greg Brophy, Steve House and Roni Bell Sylvester received 19%, 13% and 2%, respectively, falling short of the 30% needed to qualify for the ballot. Bob Beauprez and Tom Tancredo did not contest the assembly vote, instead petitioning their way onto the ballot.[3]

Candidates

Declared

Eliminated at convention

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
Bob
Beauprez
Greg
Brophy
Scott
Gessler
Steve
House
Mike
Kopp
Jim
Rundberg
Roni Bell
Sylvester
Tom
Tancredo
OtherUndecided
Magellan*May 28–29, 2014>900± 3%25%13%10% align=center27%25%
PPPMarch 13–16, 2014255± 6.1%20%7%18%3%8%1% align=center24%18%
PPPDecember 3–4, 2013335± 5.2%9%15%2%3%3% align=center34%33%

Results

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Green primary

Candidates

Unsuccessful

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

General election

Candidates

Debates

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
align=left The Cook Political Report[37] November 3, 2014
align=left Sabato's Crystal Ball[38] November 3, 2014
align=left Rothenberg Political Report[39] November 3, 2014
align=left Real Clear Politics[40] November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Bob
Beauprez (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy Pollingalign=center rowspan=2November 1–2, 2014align=center rowspan=2739align=center rowspan=2± 3.6%46%46%5%[41] 3%
48% align=center49%3%
Quinnipiac Universityalign=center rowspan=3October 28 – November 2, 2014align=center rowspan=3815align=center rowspan=3± 3.4%43% align=center45%7%[42] 6%
43% align=center45%5%[43] 7%
44% align=center45%5%[44] 7%
YouGovOctober 25–31, 20141,417± 3.3% align=center44%42%4%10%
Public Policy PollingOctober 28–29, 2014573± ?47%47%5%
SurveyUSAOctober 27–29, 2014618± 4%46%46%4%[45] 4%
Vox Populi PollingOctober 26–27, 2014642± 3.9% align=center49%44%7%
Quinnipiac Universityalign=center rowspan=3October 22–27, 2014align=center rowspan=3844align=center rowspan=3± 3.4%40% align=center45%6%[46] 9%
41% align=center46%4%[47] 9%
40% align=center45%5%9%
Strategies 360October 20–25, 2014604± 4% align=center46%43%2%8%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 21–23, 2014966± 3%47% align=center49%1%3%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovOctober 16–23, 20141,611± 4% align=center48%44%1%7%
NBC News/Maristalign=center rowspan=2October 18–22, 2014755 LV± 3.6% align=center46%41%7%[48] 6%
953 RV± 3.2% align=center46%38%8%[49] 9%
Suffolk UniversityOctober 18–21, 2014500± 4.4%43% align=center45.4%3%[50] 7.6%
Quinnipiac Universityalign=center rowspan=3October 15–21, 2014align=center rowspan=3974align=center rowspan=3± 3.1% align=center45%44%4%[51] 7%
45%45%3%[52] 7%
align=center45%44%3%[53] 8%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 17–20, 2014431± 4.7% align=center50%43%3%4%
IPSOSOctober 13–20, 20141,099± 3.4%46%46%8%
Public Policy Pollingalign=center rowspan=2October 16–19, 2014align=center rowspan=2778align=center rowspan=2± 3.5% align=center45%44%5%[54] 7%
46%46%8%
Gravis MarketingOctober 16, 2014695± 4%44% align=center48%6%3%
Quinnipiacalign=center rowspan=3October 9–13, 2014align=center rowspan=3988align=center rowspan=3± 3.1%42% align=center46%6%[55] 6%
43% align=center48%2%[56] 7%
43% align=center46%5%6%
CNN/ORCOctober 9–13, 2014665± 4% align=center49%48%3%
SurveyUSAOctober 9–12, 2014591± 4.1% align=center45%44%4%[57] 6%
High Point UniversityOctober 4–8, 2014800± 3.5%44% align=center46%6%4%
Fox NewsOctober 4–7, 2014739± 3.5%42%42%6%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovSeptember 20 – October 1, 20141,634± 3% align=center49%45%1%5%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 29–30, 2014950± 3% align=center50%46%2%3%
Gravis MarketingSeptember 16–17, 2014657± 4%43% align=center48%5%4%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 13–16, 2014500± 4.4% align=center43%40.8%6%[58] 10.2%
Quinnipiacalign=center rowspan=3September 10–15, 2014align=center rowspan=31,211align=center rowspan=3± 2.8%40% align=center50%7%3%
40% align=center52%4%4%
41% align=center51%5%3%
MyersSeptember 7–14, 20141,350± 2.7% align=center51%44%1%4%
SurveyUSASeptember 8–10, 2014664± 3.9% align=center45%43%7%[59] 5%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 3–4, 2014800± 3.5%44% align=center45%4%7%
NBC News/Maristalign=center rowspan=2September 2–4, 2014795 LV± 3.5% align=center43%39%9%[60] 9%
976 RV± 3.1% align=center43%36%9%10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovAugust 18 – September 2, 20141,727± 4%45%45%2%8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGovJuly 5–24, 20142,020± 3%47%47%2%3%
Public Policy PollingJuly 17–20, 2014653± 3.8% align=center44%43%12%
QuinnipiacJuly 10–14, 20141,147± 2.9%43% align=center44%3%10%
Gravis MarketingJuly 8–10, 20141,106± 3% align=center49%43%6%[61] 3%
NBC News/MaristJuly 7–10, 2014914± 3.2% align=center49%43%1%7%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 25–26, 2014750± 4%44%44%4%8%
Public Policy PollingApril 17–20, 2014618± ? align=center48%41%11%
QuinnipiacApril 15–21, 20141,298± 2.7% align=center48%39%1%12%
Magellan StrategiesApril 14–15, 2014717± 3.7% align=center50%35%10%5%
Public Policy PollingMarch 13–16, 2014568± 4.1% align=center48%38%14%
Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013500± 4.4% align=center50%43%6%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hickenlooper (D)
Greg
Brophy (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingMarch 13–16, 2014568± 4.1% align=center48%33%18%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 5–6, 2014500± 4.5% align=center42%33%8%17%
QuinnipiacJanuary 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9% align=center47%37%1%14%
Public Policy PollingDecember 3–4, 2013928± 3.2% align=center44%43%12%
QuinnipiacNovember 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8% align=center44%38%2%16%
QuinnipiacAugust 15–21, 20131,184± 2.9% align=center47%42%1%11%
QuinnipiacJune 5–10, 20131,065± 3% align=center43%37%2%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hickenlooper (D)
Cory
Gardner (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013500± 4.4% align=center51%40%9%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hickenlooper (D)
Scott
Gessler (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 17–20, 2014618± ? align=center48%41%12%
QuinnipiacApril 15–21, 20141,298± 2.7% align=center48%38%1%13%
Public Policy PollingMarch 13–16, 2014568± 4.1% align=center48%36%16%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 5–6, 2014500± 4.5% align=center44%38%8%11%
QuinnipiacJanuary 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9% align=center46%40%1%12%
Public Policy PollingDecember 3–4, 2013928± 3.2% align=center47%40%12%
QuinnipiacNovember 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8% align=center45%40%1%14%
QuinnipiacAugust 15–21, 20131,184± 2.9% align=center47%42%1%11%
QuinnipiacJune 5–10, 20131,065± 3% align=center42%40%2%16%
Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013500± 4.4% align=center50%40%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hickenlooper (D)
Mike
Kopp (R)
OtherUndecided
QuinnipiacApril 15–21, 20141,298± 2.7% align=center47%38%1%14%
Public Policy PollingMarch 13–16, 2014568± 4.1% align=center49%32%19%
QuinnipiacJanuary 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9% align=center47%38%2%13%
Public Policy PollingDecember 3–4, 2013928± 3.2% align=center45%37%17%
QuinnipiacNovember 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8% align=center44%40%2%14%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hickenlooper (D)
Jane
Norton (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013500± 4.4% align=center50%39%12%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hickenlooper (D)
Walker
Stapleton (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013500± 4.4% align=center49%38%18%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hickenlooper (D)
John
Suthers (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013500± 4.4% align=center49%39%11%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hickenlooper (D)
Tom
Tancredo (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 17–20, 2014618± ? align=center50%41%10%
QuinnipiacApril 15–21, 20141,298± 2.7% align=center47%40%1%11%
Public Policy PollingMarch 13–16, 2014568± 4.1% align=center50%36%13%
Hickman AnalyticsFebruary 17–20, 2014400± 4.9% align=center51%40%9%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 5–6, 2014500± 4.5% align=center46%37%8%9%
QuinnipiacJanuary 29 – February 2, 20141,139± 2.9% align=center48%39%1%11%
Public Policy PollingDecember 3–4, 2013928± 3.2% align=center48%40%12%
QuinnipiacNovember 15–18, 20131,206± 2.8% align=center46%41%1%12%
QuinnipiacAugust 15–21, 20131,184± 2.9% align=center46%45%1%9%
A.L.G. ResearchJune 27–30, 2013400± ? align=center51%40%0%9%
QuinnipiacJune 5–10, 20131,065± 3% align=center42%41%2%14%
Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013500± 4.4% align=center52%41%7%
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered
class=small Sample
size
Margin of
error
John
Hickenlooper (D)
Scott
Tipton (R)
OtherUndecided
Public Policy PollingApril 11–14, 2013500± 4.4% align=center50%40%10%

Results

Throughout the night, the race was very close. With 90% of the vote in, Beauprez was about 3,000 votes ahead. The Democrats were holding out hope that Jefferson County would edge them out. When 96% of the vote had reported, Hickenlooper prevailed. Beauprez conceded defeat at 5:48 am on the morning of November 6.

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Constitution to Republican

By congressional district

Hickenlooper won 4 of 7 congressional districts, including one held by a Republican.[62]

DistrictBeauprezHickenlooperRepresentative
26.49%69.38%Diana DeGette
37.83%57.12%Jared Polis
50.77%44.2%Scott Tipton
59.48%35.94%Ken Buck
60.96%33.63%Doug Lamborn
46.49%49.71%Mike Coffman
42.07%52.73%Ed Perlmutter

See also

External links

Official campaign websites (archived)

Notes and References

  1. Web site: Flood recovery rallies Democrats as they renominate Hick, Udall. April 12, 2014. April 13, 2014. The Denver Post. Alison. Noon.
  2. Web site: SUNRISE: Hickenlooper in rural Colorado as 2014 race begins. August 15, 2013. August 15, 2013. The Gazette.
  3. Web site: Rep. Cory Gardner wins big at assembly, will challenge Sen. Mark Udall. April 12, 2014. April 13, 2014. The Denver Post. Kurtis. Lee.
  4. Web site: Bob Beauprez expected to announce GOP gubernatorial run. February 28, 2014. March 3, 2014. The Denver Post.
  5. Web site: Amid flood disaster, Scott Gessler announces bid for Colorado governor. September 17, 2013. September 19, 2013. 9News Colorado. Brandon. Rittiman. https://archive.today/20130920193657/http://www.9news.com/news/article/355604/339/Amid-flood-Gessler-announces-bid-for-governor. September 20, 2013. dead. mdy-all.
  6. Web site: Mike Kopp, Scott Gessler make GOP ballot in Colorado governor's race. April 12, 2014. April 13, 2014. The Denver Post. Lynn. Bartels.
  7. News: Republican Mike Kopp to file for governor's race today. October 1, 2013. October 1, 2013. The Denver Post. Lynn. Bartels.
  8. News: Kopp taps Vera Ortegon as lieutenant in bid for governor. June 6, 2013. July 10, 2013. Colorado Independent.
  9. News: Former Rep. Tancredo running for Colorado governor. May 23, 2013. May 25, 2013. Associated Press. The Denver Post.
  10. Web site: Brophy sets sights on Governor's race. July 18, 2013. July 23, 2013. The Colorado Statesman. https://web.archive.org/web/20130808184444/http://coloradostatesman.com/content/994276-brophy-sets-sights-governor?s-race. August 8, 2013. dead.
  11. "Adams County Republican Party Leadership"
  12. News: Steve House, Adams County GOP chair, to run for governor. November 11, 2013. November 11, 2013. The Denver Post. Kurtis. Lee.
  13. News: "Cowgirl" joins crowded GOP field for Colorado governor. February 21, 2014. February 21, 2014. The Denver Post. Lynn. Bartels.
  14. Web site: OUT: Jason Clark (aka Kurt Angle) Bows Out of Colorado Governor's Race, Backs Beauprez. March 3, 2014. April 13, 2014. Colorado Peak Politics.
  15. Web site: Jason Clark is BACK and running for Colorado governor!!!!. January 24, 2014. January 24, 2014. The Denver Post.
  16. Web site: Steve Laffey withdraws from Colorado's Gubernatorial GOP Primary. May 24, 2013. May 25, 2013. The Denver Post. Nic. Turiciano.
  17. Web site: Race to succeed Cory Gardner in the 4th Congressional District gets more crowded. March 3, 2014. March 5, 2014. The Denver Post. Hugh Johnson.
  18. Web site: DA George Brauchler "seriously considering" run for Colorado governor. June 26, 2013. June 28, 2013. Denver Post. Lynn. Bartels.
  19. Web site: Arapahoe DA George Brauchler endorses Brophy in GOP race for governor. The Denver Post. Bartles. Lynn. March 20, 2014. April 8, 2014.
  20. Web site: District attorney staying put for now. April 2, 2014. April 8, 2014. The Villager Newspaper. Peter. Jones.
  21. Web site: Colorado governors race: GOP still searching for 2014 hopeful. February 3, 2013. February 5, 2013. Denver Post. Lyn. Bartels.
  22. Web site: Cory Gardner to run for Senate in Colorado. February 26, 2014. February 28, 2014. Politico. James. Hohmann.
  23. Web site: Schaffer, Beauprez, Brophy keeping 2014 options open. November 20, 2012. November 21, 2012. KDVR. Eli. Stokols.
  24. Web site: Sen. Ellen Roberts announces re-election campaign. Drew. Setterholm. November 16, 2013. March 21, 2014. Montrose Daily Press.
  25. Web site: Lang Sias, Laura Woods "Tea" Up For SD-19 GOP Primary. January 23, 2014. April 7, 2014. ColoradoPols.com.
  26. Web site: Walker Stapleton to seek second term as Colo. Treasurer. July 11, 2013. July 23, 2013. KDVR. Eli. Stokols.
  27. Web site: Bartels. Lynn. Oh, Hickenlooper has a challenger after all. February 3, 2013. February 4, 2013. Denver Post.
  28. Web site: Green State Conventions and contested Primaries. https://web.archive.org/web/20140409122554/http://www.oppositionnews.org/articles/2014/q1/green-state-conventions-and-contested-primaries/. dead. April 9, 2014. March 25, 2014. April 13, 2014. Opposition News.
  29. Web site: Colorado governor's race picks up candidate Mike Dunafon, who will make things interesting. July 19, 2014. July 22, 2014. The Denver Post. Joey Bunch.
  30. Web site: Candidate Working to be Colorado Governor in November!. February 8, 2014. April 13, 2014. Facebook. Rundberg. Jim.
  31. Web site: Bob Beauprez picks Douglas County leader Jill Repella as running mate. July 1, 2014. July 3, 2014. The Denver Post. Joey. Bunch.
  32. Web site: Local banker Robin Roberts enters governor race as running mate. The Colorado Springs Business Journal. May 22, 2014. August 24, 2014. Ralph Routon.
  33. Web site: Paul Fiorino is the 'creative' candidate. Chieftain.com. October 24, 2014. October 26, 2014. Peter Roper.
  34. Web site: Paul Fiorino runs for governor. Colorado Music. September 17, 2014. October 26, 2014.
  35. Web site: Marcus Giavanni. Ballotpedia.
  36. Web site: 2014 Libertarian Party Candidates. April 21, 2014. July 3, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140518041513/http://lpcolorado.org/about/elections/candidates. May 18, 2014. dead. mdy-all.
  37. Web site: 2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014 . The Cook Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  38. Web site: The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks . Sabato's Crystal Ball . November 3, 2014 . September 3, 2018.
  39. Web site: 2014 Gubernatorial Ratings . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report . September 3, 2018.
  40. Web site: 2014 Elections Map - 2014 Governors Races . Real Clear Politics . September 3, 2018.
  41. Mike Dunafon (I) 1%, Paul Fiorino (I) 0%, Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Matthew Hess (L) 2%
  42. Harry Hempy (G) 3%, Matthew Hess (L) 3%, Other 1%
  43. Harry Hempy (G) 4%, Other 1%
  44. Matthew Hess (L) 4%, Other 1%
  45. Mike Dunafon (I) 1%, Harry Hempy (G) 1%, Matthew Hess (L) 2%
  46. Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Matthew Hess (L) 4%
  47. Harry Hempy (G) 3%, Other 1%
  48. Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Matthew Hess (L) 4%, Other 1%
  49. Harry Hempy (G) 3%, Matthew Hess (L) 4%, Other 1%
  50. Mike Dunafon (I) 0.4%, Paul Fiorino (I) 1%, Harry Hempy (G) 0.6%, Matthew Hess (L) 2%
  51. Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Matthew Hess (L) 1%, Other 1%
  52. Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Other 1%
  53. Matthew Hess (L) 2%, Other 1%
  54. Mike Dunafon (I) 1%, Paul Fiorino (I) 0%, Harry Hempy (G) 2%, Matthew Hess (L) 1%
  55. Harry Hempy (G) 1%, Matthew Hess (L) 5%
  56. Harry Hempy (G)
  57. Mike Dunafon (I) 1%, Harry Hempy (G) 0%, Matthew Hess (L) 3%
  58. Mike Dunafon (I) 1.6%, Paul Fiorino (I) 0.8%, Harry Hempy (G) 1.8%, Matthew Hess (L) 1.8%
  59. Mike Dunafon (I) 2%, Harry Hempy (G) 1%, Matthew Hess (L) 4%, Other <1%
  60. Harry Hempy (G) 4%, Matthew Hess (L) 5%, Other <1%
  61. Matthew Hess (L)
  62. Web site: Daily Kos Elections' statewide election results by congressional and legislative districts .