Opinion polling for the next German federal election explained

In the run-up to the next German federal election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Germany. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.

Poll results

2024

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDUnionGrüneFDPAfDLinkeFWBSWOthersLead
INSA2,00615.530.510.551939.5711.5
Forsa2,503153111517371114
INSA1,20316301151939711
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,33414143213416381016
YouGov1,998153112519318612
INSA2,0081530.510.551839.58.512.5
Forsa2,50222153011517371213
GMS1,006143212517328715
INSA1,20316311051839813
Infratest dimap1,31115321251691116
Verian1,44916311351637915
INSA2,0021530.510.551739.59.513.5
Forsa2,50020153011517337913
Ipsos1,000143013516328914
INSA1,19915311051839913
INSA2,0061530105183.59.5912
Forsa2,50121153011417371313
INSA1,203153011518310812
INSA2,010153110.55173.59914
Forsa2,50418143111517471114
INSA1,207153011517391013
Allensbach1,00316.53211.56178915
INSA2,500153111.551838.5813
Forsa2,50318143211516371216
INSA1,44915301251829912
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,34115143213417371015
Verian1,486153113516371015
INSA2,0071530.5115.517.531.58.57.513
Forsa2,5041914301151781513
Ipsos1,0001430125163281014
INSA1,204153011518291012
Infratest dimap1,29414311351738914
YouGov1,711143012619329611
INSA2,0061529.5125.517.52.528.57.512
Forsa2,5061815311161671415
INSA1,203153012617229713
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,18611143113417371114
INSA2,00814.530.511.5517.5328.57.513
Forsa2,50519153111516371215
INSA1,204153012517328813
INSA2,010153111517328814
Forsa2,504153012516271214
GMS1,007143114518326713
INSA1,205163111517327814
Allensbach1,08416321361537816
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,3341514301451671414
Verian1,425163013517336713
INSA2,00815.5301251632.57.58.514
Forsa2,50522 16301361661314
2024 EU Parliament Election13.930.011.95.215.92.72.76.211.514.1
INSA1,203163012516338714
YouGov1,894142912418429811
Ipsos957152913517338712
INSA2,0021630.512515.53.52.57.57.514.5
Forsa2,50622 17301361561313
INSA1,205163112516337715
Infratest dimap1,479153114418335713
INSA2,0041530.51251732.57813.5
Forsa2,50322 16301361561414
INSA1,202153013517337713
INSA2,010163012.55173376.513
Wahlkreisprognose2,5002416.53113.561536914.5
Forsa2,00116321451551316
INSA1,206163012517337713
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,24718153113516451115
Allensbach1,09317.532.51361438615
Verian1,506163014516435714
INSA2,08715.530.5135173.52.57613.5
Forsa2,00623 163213515351116
INSA1,247153013517427713
YouGov1,749163014419417511
INSA2,00615.530.5125183.52.57.55.512.5
Forsa2,000163112615341315
GMS1,005153114418236713
Ipsos2,000162813518437610
INSA1.203153012518427712
Infratest dimap1,28015311551851113
INSA2.00416.529.512.5518.53.52.57511
Forsa2,50523173012516341313
INSA1,203162913518427611
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,22818153015417451013
INSA2,0081530.512.5518.542.57512
Forsa2,5012516311251651515
INSA1,204153013518427612
Allensbach1,0411632.515616374.516.5
Verian1,445163014518335612
INSA2,0061629.513618.532.56.5511
Forsa2,5052316311251751414
INSA1,203163013518326712
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,25420163112418361013
YouGov1,588142915519417610
INSA2,0841530.513518.53.52.56.55.512
Forsa2,5062416301351751413
Ipsos2,000152913518437611
INSA1,243153113519326612
Infratest dimap1,304153015418335712
INSA2,004153012.5519.53.52.56.55.510.5
Forsa1,5082416311341751414
INSA1,210153013520326610
INSA2,00815.53012.5519.53.52.56.5510.5
Forsa2,50324163113417335814
INSA1,204163013519326611
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,2961916311341836913
Wahlkreisprognose1,3002519.529144153.56.58.59.5
Verian1,48017291551835811
INSA2,0021629.512519.53.52.56.55.510
Forsa2,50024163113417335814
INSA1,199153012519326811
Allensbach1,02715341451637618
INSA2,07914.53112.55.518.53.52.56.55.512.5
Forsa2,50226153014517335813
INSA1,249153112519327612
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,26019153015418335712
Infratest dimap1,28816291451936810
YouGov1,762152914419417710
INSA2,02414.530.5135.519.532.56.5511
Forsa2,506153114517334814
Ipsos2,000152914518337611
INSA1,200153013519337511
Verian1,39216301551834912
INSA2,00615.530.5134.519337.5411.5
Forsa2,503143015517334913
INSA1,203153013519338411
Wahlkreisprognose1,3001428.512.55.519228.589.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,2941815301441945911
Verian1,50516291541935910
INSA2,00714.530.512.54.519.53.537.54.511
Forsa2,50424153014517334913
INSA1,203143113419338512
Allensbach1,05315321461837514
INSA2,083153012.53.520.53.537.54.59.5
Forsa2,50225153114418351013
INSA1,276153013420337510
YouGov2,018143112420317611
INSA2,004153012.54.520.53.537.53.59.5
GMS1,012163213418235714
Forsa2,50325153114418335713
Ipsos2,000153013418438512
INSA1,202153013420437410
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,21720153113419336612
Infratest dimap1,30316301441935911
INSA2,00214.53012.55213.52.5749
Forsa2,50627153214319333813
INSA1,201143113421427410
Wahlkreisprognose1,3662617.530.5114.5222.5488.5
15.527.512.56.5192.52 95.58.5
Verian1,92216291641943910
pollytix1,5301529125224947
INSA2,00613.530.512.5521.532.511.58
Forsa2,503143114420433711
INSA1,20313301352233748
Allensbach1,018153413.5619.543514.5
INSA2,0041431125234388
Forsa2,5041331144224399
INSA1,002142712418331459
INSA1,2021530125224398
Verian1,3591431164224369
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,3372113311442244449
INSA2,0081632125234359
YouGov1,6141529126245275
Forsa2,5021530144224388
Ipsos2,000153013622598
INSA1,2041631125234368
Wahlkreisprognose1,50024123410.54.524.5347.59.5
Infratest dimap1,3211431135224389
INSA2,002153213522.5435.59.5
GMS1,00414331362333510
2021 federal election23.425.724.214.711.410.44.92.46.31.6

2023

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDUnionGrüneFDPAfDLinkeFWOthersLead
INSA1,0011532125234369
INSA2,0001532125234369
Forsa1431145223119
INSA1,20215321252243710
Infratest dimap1,21014321452134711
Verian1,42115311542141010
INSA2,00215.531.512.552342.568.5
Forsa2,501261431135233118
INSA1,2021532125234279
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,1462114321452243610
Allensbach1,0131734155183.534.516
Verian1,51515301652041010
INSA2,008163012.5622.54367.5
GMS1,00114321552223710
Forsa2,501271431135224119
INSA1,2031630126224378
Infratest dimap1,36414321542133811
YouGov1,6691430146234277
Verian1,40214301742041110
INSA2,00615.529.513622.53.5377
Forsa2,5011430145224118
Ipsos2,0001629136215108
INSA1,2021630136223378
Verian1,80617291651941010
Wahlkreisprognose1,200251531135263.56.55
INSA2,00715.530.512.5622436.58.5
Forsa2,500251430155214119
INSA1,2021630126224378
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,24222153115522489
Verian1,452162917520499
INSA2,00316.530135.5214.536.59
Forsa2,501261530145213399
INSA1,2011630136214379
Allensbach1,047173213.56193.54513
Verian1,4211628166204108
INSA2,00816.530.513.5521.54.535.59
Forsa2,5041430145214399
INSA1,2041730145214369
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,234211630155214369
Infratest dimap1,1951530155214379
YouGov1,7321529155225277
Kantar1,4431628166204378
INSA2,00616.529.513.55.5224.535.57.5
Forsa2,5021529145214398
Ipsos2,000172815620598
INSA1,2041630136224368
Infratest dimap1,3141630144225368
Kantar1,4181727165214106
INSA2,01016.530.5135.52143.569.5
Forsa2,501261529145223397
INSA1,21616311362143610
Wahlkreisprognose1,3002414.5301462249.58
Kantar1,4221628165205108
INSA2,00416.528.5135.52253.566.5
Forsa2,50414311452143810
INSA1,2021629135225467
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,252211530145215379
Allensbach1,01017341351934515
Kantar1,38814311552143710
INSA2,00616.528136234.5455
Forsa2,5012214321442143811
INSA1,2021728136235445
Infratest dimap1,2031529135234456
YouGov1,8421629155216258
Kantar1,3861627156225365
INSA2,001172713.5622.55364.5
Forsa2,0031828146204108
Ipsos2,000172614722594
INSA1,2011727146225365
INSA2,0101826.513.572252.55.54.5
Forsa2,004251828145204118
INSA1,2061826147225354
Kantar1,391162616721595
Infratest dimap1,3021628146224376
Kantar1,356162715721596
Wahlkreisprognose1,2002418.524156.5233.59.51
INSA2,00317.52713.56.521.55365.5
Forsa2,503271727146214116
INSA1,2031727146225365
Kantar1,370172715721496
INSA2,0081726.514.562153.56.55.5
GMS1,002162715623494
Forsa2,504271727146224105
INSA1,2041727156215366
Allensbach1,0301830147195711
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,201211726166215365
Infratest dimap1,222162815722486
Kantar1,442162615722594
INSA2,0021826.5147224.584.5
Forsa2,505281727137214116
INSA1,201182713722585
YouGov1,8331629145235186
Kantar1,4411726156215105
INSA2,01017.526.513.57.521.54.595
Forsa2,5061627147214116
Ipsos2,000172614821685
INSA1,195182713721596
Infratest dimap1,310162914622497
Kantar1,3301825157205105
INSA2,0061826.514.57214.58.55.5
Forsa2,504291726147214115
Wahlkreisprognose1,2002620.525137.522483
INSA1,285182714721586
Kantar1,4261826147205106
INSA2,00818.526.514820.557.56
Forsa2,506291826147204116
INSA1,203182714821576
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,28826192615720586
Infratest dimap1,2161727147214106
Allensbach1,0261929147195710
Kantar1,4261826157195107
INSA2,00219.52613.57214.58.55
Forsa2,501281725157214114
INSA1,200202613721585
GMS1,0041727147214106
Kantar1,330192716618688
INSA2,004192714.57.520.54.576.5
Forsa2,502281725157214114
Ipsos1,000172615822574
INSA1,203192714721576
Infratest dimap1,297172715721496
Kantar1,310192716619588
YouGov1,7561727145236174
INSA2,00318.526.5146.521.5585
Forsa2,500281725156215114
INSA1,200182614722584
Wahlkreisprognose1,5252320.52513720.54.536.54.5
Kantar1,402182716620587
INSA2,00618.526.5147.521.54.57.55
Forsa2,504281827146195118
INSA1,266182614722584
Infratest dimap1,2351828137204108
Allensbach1,0111929167184710
Kantar1,403182616720586
INSA2,004182714720.558.56.5
Forsa2,502261826157204106
INSA1,184182714720597
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,34727172716720497
Kantar1,393192615720586
INSA2,008192614720.558.55.5
Ipsos1,000182614722584
Forsa2,003251827147195108
INSA1,204192713720597
Infratest dimap1,305182814720498
YouGov1,6941827146216166
Kantar1,403182715620597
INSA2,8971925.514.56.52158.54.5
GMS1,0051728147204108
Forsa2,501251827156195108
INSA1,401192614720596
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,37924182816619589
Kantar1,4081826157195107
INSA2,00419.526.513.56.520.54.596
Forsa2,506251827157194108
Wahlkreisprognose1,39925212414.56214.593
INSA1,2032026137204106
Allensbach1,0391931158174612
Infratest dimap1,19117291561941010
Kantar1,406192715720487
INSA2,0062026.513.57.5204.586.5
Forsa2,503251827157194108
INSA1,203202713819497
Civey10,031192516720585
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,22421192816618589
Kantar1,387202715619587
INSA2,003202713819.54.587
Forsa2,504241829147194910
INSA1,201202713819587
YouGov1,6281928135206178
Kantar1,402202715718587
INSA2,0091926.513.5919587.5
GMS1,0011829157194810
Forsa2,5052318301471741012
Ipsos1,000202813819668
Wahlkreisprognose1,10024212713819486
INSA1,205192713919588
Infratest dimap1,3021829157184911
INSA2,00420.528138.5184.57.57.5
Kantar1,379202715817587
Forsa2,0012318291471751011
INSA1,207202813918488
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,25724202816617588
Kantar1,3211829158165911
INSA2,00420.527.5148.51757.57
Forsa2,00318301471651012
INSA1,195212814817577
Kantar1,4011828168165910
INSA2,010202814.58.516.557.58
Forsa2,5032517301581641013
INSA1,205202815916488
Infratest dimap1,2201828168165910
Allensbach1,0011832168155614
YouGov1,70016311651762714
Kantar1,4051829178165711
INSA2,008202814916.54.588
Forsa2,50518291671641011
Ipsos1,0001929158165810
INSA1,204202814916498
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,225281930176155811
Infratest dimap1,3601730167165913
INSA2,006212715816.54.586
Kantar1,3941731168164814
Wahlkreisprognose1,400242127.51410.5153.58.56.5
Forsa2,00717301671641013
INSA1,202212814816587
Kantar1,4261830167165812
INSA2,0042027.514.59164.58.57.5
Forsa2,5062318301671541012
INSA1,202202815916488
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,266241831186154813
Kantar1,4071929177154910
Allensbach1,0072031157.51655.511
INSA2,0082127.5158164.586.5
Forsa2,5082418291771541011
INSA1,204212715816586
Infratest dimap1,2041929177154910
INSA2,0052027.515.58164.58.57.5
Kantar1,367212717814586
Forsa1,5012518301871441012
INSA1,204202816816488
Infratest dimap1,3041830177154912
Ipsos1,000212717815486
YouGov1,52220301561761610
Kantar1,269202718814587
INSA2,007202815.57.5164.58.58
GMS1,0071931176154812
Forsa2,5022518291871441011
INSA1,200212716816486
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,379251930177155711
Kantar1,3871828197154910
INSA2,00420.52816815.5487.5
Forsa2,5062419291861441010
Wahlkreisprognose1,200232326.5157.513.5410.53.5
INSA1,203212816815487
Kantar1,5041828187155910
INSA2,00621.528157.516576.5
Forsa2,503231929186145910
INSA1,202212815816577
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,14624212919514578
Infratest dimap1,2151830167155912
Allensbach1,1012131166.5154.5610
Kantar1,432192818715589
INSA2,00221.528.515.57.516477
Forsa2,50522202917614599
INSA1,268212916715488
YouGov1,6492028166177168
Kantar1,5041929197135810
INSA2,0072029.515.57.515.5579.5
Forsa2,5042031175135911
Ipsos1,000202718715587
INSA1,2032030167155710
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,16524212918515578
Infratest dimap1,3111831176145913
Wahlkreisprognose1,4192523.53215.5514378.5
Kantar1,722202818614688
INSA2,01020.529.515.57.515.54.579
Forsa2,501222031175135911
INSA1,200212916715578
Kantar1,373212917615578
INSA2,00621.52915.5715.556.57.5
GMS1,0041929177155810
Forsa2,5101931176135912
INSA1,207212916716568
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,361252030195145710
Infratest dimap1,2161929176155910
Kantar1,386212618715585
INSA2,0052028167.51657.58
Forsa2,50523212818613597
INSA1,457202816816578
YouGov1,7361927166176278
Allensbach1,08822.530167.514467.5
Kantar1,410212519715584
INSA2,008212716815.557.56
Forsa2,50224212818713587
Ipsos1,000202617816586
INSA1,462212816815577
Infratest dimap1,328202718715497
Kantar1,405212519715584
INSA2,00720.528.5167.51557.58
Forsa2,503202719713597
Wahlkreisprognose1,421262424186.514.53.59.5Tie
INSA1,506202916715589
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,34526212719615666
Kantar1,392212719714576
INSA2,00920.52816.57.5154.587.5
Forsa2,50223192820712598
INSA1,504202816715598
Infratest dimap1,2111929196144910
Allensbach1,0232131176144.56.510
Kantar1,418202720614587
Wahlkreisprognose1,50021.524.517816.53.593
INSA2,006212816.57.515577
Forsa2,50024182820713598
INSA1,202202717815587
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,25926202721614666
Civey10,065182820714588
Ipsos1,000192718715688
YouGov1,5611827178166169
Kantar1,3981928187144109
INSA2,006202717.57.515587
Forsa2,50223182920713589
INSA1,465202718715587
Infratest dimap1,3141829196155810
GMS1,0021929177145910
INSA2,010202717.57.5154.58.57
2021 federal election23.425.724.214.711.410.44.92.46.31.6

2022

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDUnionGrüneFDPAfDLinkeFWOthersLead
INSA1,205202618715596
INSA1,203212717814586
YouGov1,60819301771451811
INSA2,0052127.517.57.514.54.57.56.5
Forsa2,50324192819713599
INSA1,501212718715576
Kantar1,7171929187145810
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,36522202820615568
Allensbach1,0352230187.5124.568
INSA2,0072028.518715.54.56.58.5
Kantar1,429182819714599
Forsa2,506241929197125910
Wahlkreisprognose1,50022.52516.5714.5410.52.5
INSA1,502202818715488
Infratest dimap1,2591829186155911
Kantar1,443192719615598
INSA2,00820.52817714.5587.5
Forsa2,500251929197125910
Ipsos1,000192719714688
INSA1,502202817715588
Civey10,016192821713487
GMS1,0051828217124107
Infratest dimap1,3181830185155912
Kantar1,414182720714597
INSA2,006212717.571557.56
Forsa2,50524192920612599
INSA1,501212718715576
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,27326192822514666
Kantar1,4301929197134910
INSA2,0042028177.51557.58
Forsa2,50225192820613598
INSA1,314202817715588
Allensbach1,0422029.52071445.59.5
Kantar1,443202719713597
INSA2,01020.527.517.57154.587
Forsa2,50325192820614498
INSA1,255212818715477
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,31023192822515566
Infratest dimap1,2251828197144109
YouGov1,6081829205167159
Wahlkreisprognose1,30024.525.5168.5143.581
Kantar1,442212620714575
Ipsos1,000192720713687
INSA2,007212717.5814.54.57.56
Forsa2,50224192819614599
INSA1,286212717815576
Infratest dimap1,307192819614599
Kantar1,516212619814575
INSA2,00920.526189154.575.5
Forsa2,50323202720614497
INSA1,230202618915576
Kantar1,406212520715574
GMS1,002182820615498
INSA2,00720.526.517.58.5154.57.56
Forsa2,50222192820614498
Wahlkreisprognose1,910222517.58163.583
INSA1,503202718815577
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,38922192821615567
Kantar1,435222320716481
INSA2,00019.527.518.57.515.54.578
Forsa2,505202720614497
INSA1,327192818815579
Allensbach1,0211930.51971455.511.5
Infratest dimap1,225192620615596
YouGov1,61716291961562710
Kantar1,433202521615584
Forsa2,50124182820614598
INSA2,00519.527.5197.51556.58
Ipsos1,000182721713686
INSA1,315192719815578
Wahlkreisprognose1,9232125169164.58.54
Infratest dimap1,307172819715599
Kantar1,864182720814677
INSA2,0081927.518.58155.56.58.5
Forsa2,00125182820614598
INSA1,210192818815669
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,35527182722714575
Kantar1,381192721813576
INSA2,1021827.519.58155.56.58
Forsa2,50523182820713598
INSA1,255192819814579
Wahlkreisprognose1,700222618813.548.54
Kantar1,444192720714587
GMS1,003182821713497
INSA2,08018.528.5197.5145.579.5
Forsa2,50623192819713599
INSA1,476192819713689
Infratest dimap1,224172821714587
Allensbach1,0302030197135.55.510
YouGov1,63516291961471710
Kantar1,443202621713585
Forsa2,501192820613598
INSA2,039182820813.55.578
Wahlkreisprognose1,3002025.5197145.595.5
INSA1,443192720813587
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,29925192823613565
Kantar1,416202521812594
INSA2,004182820.57.513.55.577.5
Forsa2,50025182624711592
Ipsos1,000192621812685
INSA1,203192820813578
Infratest dimap1,324172722813585
Kantar1,411212422812582
INSA2,1381927.520.58135.56.57
Forsa2,50325172625711591
INSA1,204202821812567
Civey10,014192722711595
Kantar1,431192623712583
INSA2,09118.528217.5135.56.57
Forsa2,50525182625711491
INSA1,427192821812577
Wahlkreisprognose1,433182526614381
Allensbach1,03819.5292181255.58
Infratest dimap1,273182823712485
Kantar1,429202823612475
INSA2,146192822812566
Forsa2,500281826256114101
INSA1,502192722912565
Wahlkreisprognose2,920162425.5814.53.58.51.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,3892519262671246Tie
YouGov1,5951927216146176
Kantar1,422212722711575
Ipsos1,000192722811585
INSA2,099182721.5812.55.57.55.5
Forsa2,504261826247105102
INSA1,701192721912576
Infratest dimap1,313172823713485
Kantar1,426212523611592
INSA2,14418.526.522812584.5
Forsa2,504182724710593
INSA1,202192622912574
Kantar1,413212622711584
INSA2,04318.526.522812584.5
GMS1,005182723910584
Forsa2,510221926246105102
INSA1,501182723812574
Allensbach1,0062227.52271155.55.5
Infratest dimap1,210192722712495
Wahlkreisprognose1,4002224248.510.53.57.5Tie
Kantar1,392192523811592
INSA2,06218.526.5228124.58.54.5
Forsa2,501202624695102
Civey10,018202723710584
INSA1,277192622811594
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,16725212625611561
Kantar1,433202524811481
INSA2,0442027218.5114.586
Forsa2,50322192624795102
INSA1,202192822810496
Wahlkreisprognose1,700222522810493
Infratest dimap1,327192723811484
YouGov1,6551928207125188
Kantar1,426202524710591
INSA2,0661928219.51147.57
Forsa2,5022320262489492
Ipsos1,000222620910584
INSA1,253202722911475
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,18620212725610562
Kantar1,410202625810471
INSA2,101202721.5910.5485.5
Forsa2,5002220262489492
Wahlkreisprognose2,430222521712493
INSA1,414202622911484
Infratest dimap1,248202623812473
Kantar1,769202624810482
INSA2,06319.528219.510487
GMS1,00321292188498
Forsa2,5042519282389495
INSA1,501202721910496
Allensbach1,0462327228104.55.54
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,13322222625610561
Kantar1,89520282289496
INSA2,0822027.5219.510.53.586.5
Forsa2,5112020272389494
INSA1,203212721910486
Wahlkreisprognose1,603222420713682
Ipsos1,000232719910484
YouGov1,6331830217126169
INSA2,055202721.59.510.53.585.5
Kantar1,42822262398483
Forsa2,00220192723810494
INSA1,50122272099495
Infratest dimap1,226212721811486
Wahlkreisprognose1,500182725.58948.51.5
Kantar1,42820282388495
INSA2,056222720.58.5103.58.55
GMS1,00522302087498
Forsa2,0042119292479485
INSA1,33723271999494
Kantar1,42221272189596
INSA2,1002228.5208.510.537.56.5
Forsa2,5052221282379485
Civey10,050222720811575
INSA1,2142128191010397
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,16222222624710472
Allensbach1,118242920.5894.555
Kantar1,425222621810584
Wahlkreisprognose1,30223.529235.57.52.595.5
INSA2,14721.52820.5911376.5
Forsa2,5022322272288495
INSA1,5012227181010495
Infratest dimap1,226222620811494
YouGov1,6592028199105178
Kantar1,426222620910584
Wahlkreisprognose1,6102423.522.510.5937.50.5
INSA2,08622.527.5191010.53.575
Forsa2,50123262199483
Ipsos9062425161111581
INSA1,5012327181110384
pollytix1,3032226171212564
Kantar1,57023271999584
INSA2,1462327199.510.54.56.54
Forsa2,50823262099493
INSA1,2022326181011483
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,17021252321911472
Infratest dimap1,314242618911392
Kantar1,43123252099592
INSA2,0562426.518911.54.56.52.5
GMS1,0032626188949Tie
Forsa2,5072524252099491
Civey10,011242520911471
Wahlkreisprognose1,00724.522.522118.538.52
INSA1,296242618911572
Kantar1,7152525199949Tie
INSA2,07323.526199114.572.5
Forsa1,501252525208949Tie
INSA1,4022526171010571
Infratest dimap1,226242618811492
YouGov1,6432126189126175
Kantar1,960262519810481
INSA2,061252717.59114.562
Forsa2,5002527241989493
INSA1,5032526161011481
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,23021272419811473
Infratest dimap1,325242519911481
Allensbach1,07528241799674
Kantar1,437272519810472
Wahlkreisprognose2,4502725.5198.59381.5
INSA2,063252617.510.510.54.561
Ipsos9122523151212672
Forsa2,5082427241989493
INSA1,501262616101147Tie
Kantar1,42825261899581
INSA2,070252616.51010.55.56.51
Forsa2,5072224261899592
INSA1,205262616101156Tie
Kantar1,42926251899671
INSA2,12224.526.516.511114.562
Forsa2,50122232718109584
Allensbach1,04125251710.51057.5Tie
Wahlkreisprognose1,92326.525.518.5108.5381
INSA1,198262616101057Tie
Infratest dimap1,254252617911481
Kantar1,4162626198957Tie
INSA2,0732525.515.510.510.5580.5
Forsa2,50225261899581
INSA1,2012624161010682
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,34519272418910573
YouGov1,6292326169116173
Kantar1,426252619810571
INSA2,1032524.515.51110.567.50.5
Ipsos9352524161111671
Forsa2,5012226251897691
INSA1,185252515111167Tie
Infratest dimap1,320252616911581
Kantar1,40526261781067Tie
INSA2,067232715.51110.56.56.54
Forsa1,50025261897691
Wahlkreisprognose2,0302623.517.511.510.5472.5
GMS1,005242715109693
INSA1,4052326151112763
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,10320262417911672
Kantar1,432262517910761
INSA1,539232714.512.511664
Forsa2,5002323271799694
INSA1,3032227151112765
Infratest dimap1,202242615912592
Allensbach1,03323271510.51066.54
Wahlkreisprognose1,2002524.5179.59.568.50.5
YouGov1,6592127179117166
Kantar1,434242416101268Tie
INSA2,14122.52615121266.53.5
Forsa2,50422232716996104
INSA1,5042226161112674
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,2241825251691168Tie
pollytix1,547232715912864
Kantar1,2872226161012684
INSA2,0672326151211763
Ipsos910252416812871
Forsa2,502232227169106105
INSA1,2022227161111675
Wahlkreisprognose2,3302128198.5105.587
Civey10,070252515101168Tie
Infratest dimap1,3392227161012585
Kantar1,41024241791169Tie
INSA2,24724251512.5106.571
Forsa2,50123232716910694
INSA1,3832624161111662
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,249212423181010781
YouGov1,6022326158128273
Kantar1,415242418101068Tie
INSA2,14626241511.51166.52
Forsa2,502222524161010691
INSA1,2042623161212653
Allensbach1,09027.52314.512.5105.574.5
Infratest dimap1,4242524161012581
Wahlkreisprognose1,92027.522.51710.5104.585
Kantar1,441262217912684
INSA2,1302622.515.51212663.5
Forsa2,50422252516101059Tie
INSA1,5042723161112564
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,128212722161110685
Kantar1,4262623171010683
INSA2,10726.52315121256.53.5
Forsa3,0032225251710959Tie
Ipsos92925211511126104
INSA1,5042723161211564
Infratest dimap1,3252623161111583
INSA2,06026.52315.51111.566.53.5
GMS1,0032624161211472
2021 federal election23.425.724.214.711.410.44.92.46.31.5

2021

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDUnionGrüneFDPAfDLinkeFWOthersLead
INSA1,2012724161011573
INSA1,1952823151111575
INSA2,07527.521.514.51311.55.56.56
Forsa2,5012624161095102
Wahlkreisprognose1,1203021.514.511.51048.58.5
INSA1,5012723141212574
Kantar1,4362722161111585
Allensbach1,0692624151310.556.52
YouGov1,71527231610116264
Kantar1,4402722161110595
INSA2,221272214.51311.55.56.55
Forsa2,50926231511105103
INSA1,4802622151311584
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,303212821171210577
Infratest dimap1,2662623161211573
Civey10,0432723151111584
Kantar1,43928211511115367
INSA2,11926221513.511.55.56.54
Wahlkreisprognose1,002291816.513.5114811
Forsa2,50325221711105103
INSA1,3482621151312585
Infratest dimap1,3162523171211572
Civey10,0782624151111582
Kantar1,4252720161211687
INSA2,12925211614115.57.54
Forsa2,50924221712105102
INSA1,4032621151312675
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,344192819171311579
Infratest dimap1,2392521171311584
Wahlkreisprognose1,0022722.515.511.51058.54.5
Civey10,0642524151111591
YouGov1,79725231611126252
Kantar1,4242422181111682
INSA2,09626221414115.57.54
Forsa2,5012124221712105102
INSA1,5012621151312585
Civey10,0772623151211583
Kantar1,4332421181211683
INSA2,0912721151311.55.576
Forsa2,5102124221712105102
INSA1,2022622151311584
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,257162820161311578
Allensbach1,016272315149.55.564
Civey9,9992622151311584
Kantar1,4242521161410684
INSA2,11226.520.51613.510.55.57.76
Forsa2,502252216149593
INSA1,2122721151411576
Wahlkreisprognose1,2002820.515.51410.547.57.5
GMS1,0052621161510485
Infratest dimap1,3292721161310586
Civey10,0692622151311584
Kantar1,41725221613105363
INSA2,14027201613.511.5577
Forsa2,501252116159594
INSA1,5032721161311576
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,208152720161411577
Infratest dimap1,2392622161310494
Civey10,0502521151412584
Kantar1,4222521171411574
INSA2,1052820161411568
Forsa2,510252017169585
INSA1,2052720171411477
Civey10,0282520151511685
Kantar1,4242521161311594
INSA2,1402818.5161511.5569.5
Forsa2,502262016159596
INSA1,1952819161311499
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,329142819171311579
Allensbach1,045282115149.557.57
Civey9,9992620141511686
Kantar1,4102619171410597
INSA2,10128.519.51614.51146.59
Wahlkreisprognose1,210271917.5141048.58
Forsa2,5032620161495106
INSA1,5092820151410588
Civey10,0092819151411679
Kantar1,98526201713105366
INSA2,000282115.513.5104.57.57
Forsa3,0042620161495106
INSA1,2542821161210587
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,249152820161310588
2021 federal election23.425.724.214.711.410.44.92.46.31.5

CDU and CSU

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDCDUGrüneFDPAfDCSULinkeFWBSWOthersLead
INSA2,0081523.510.5518739.58.55.5
INSA2,002152410.55176.539.59.57
INSA2,0061524.5105185.53.59.596.5
INSA2,0101524.510.55176.53.5997.5
INSA2,5001524.511.55186.538.586.5
INSA2,0071524115.517.56.531.58.57.56.5
INSA2,0061524125.517.55.52.528.57.56.5
INSA2,00814.524.511.5517.56328.57.57
INSA2,0101524.5115176.532887.5
INSA2,00815.52312516732.57.58.57
INSA2,002162412515.56.53.52.57.57.58
INSA2,0041525125175.532.5788
INSA2,0101623.512.55176.53376.56.5
INSA2,08715.524.51351763.52.5767.5
INSA2,00615.523.51251873.52.57.55.55.5
Forsa2,0001624.5126156.534138.5
INSA2,00416.523.512.5518.563.52.5755
INSA2,0081523.512.5518.5742.5755
INSA2,0061623.513618.5632.56.555
INSA2,0841523.513518.573.52.56.55.55
INSA2,0041523.512.5519.56.53.52.56.55.54
INSA2,00815.523.512.5519.56.53.52.56.554
INSA2,0021623.512519.563.52.56.55.54
INSA2,07914.525.512.55.518.55.53.52.56.55.57
INSA2,00714.524.5135.519.5632.56.555
INSA2,00615.524134.5196.5337.545
INSA2,00714.52412.54.519.56.53.537.54.54.5
INSA2,0831523.512.53.520.56.53.537.54.53
INSA2,004152412.54.520.563.537.53.53.5
INSA2,00214.523.512.55216.53.52.5742.5
INSA2,00613.523.512.5521.5732.511.52
INSA2,00414241252374381
INSA2,00816251252374352
INSA2,002152513522.57435.52.5
INSA2,00015251252374362
INSA2,00215,524.512.5523742.561.5
INSA2,0081623.512.5622.56.54361
INSA2,00615.52313622.56.53.5370.5
INSA2,00715.524.512.56226436.52.5
INSA2,00816.525.5135.5214.54.536.54.5
INSA2,00816.524.513.5521.564.535.53
INSA2,00616.52313.55.5226.54.535.51
INSA2,01016.523.5135.521743.562.5
INSA2,00416.522135.5226.553.56Tie
INSA2,00616.521.5136236.54.5451.5
INSA2,0011720.513.5622.56.55362
INSA2,010182113.57225.552.55.51
INSA2,00317.520.513.56.521.56.55361
INSA2,008172114.56215.553.56.5Tie
INSA2,0021819.51472274.582.5
INSA2,01017.52013.57.521.56.54.591.5
INSA2,0061820.514.572164.58.50.5
INSA2,00818.519.514820.5757.51
INSA2,00219.519.513.57216.54.58.51.5
INSA2,004192214.57.520.554.571.5
INSA2,00318.520146.521.56.5581.5
INSA2,00618.520.5147.521.564.57.51
INSA2,004182014720.5758.50.5
INSA2,008192114720.5558.50.5
INSA2,8971920.514.56.521558.50.5
INSA2,00419.52013.56.520.56.54.590.5
INSA2,0062020.513.57.52064.580.5
INSA2,003202113819.564.581
INSA2,0091920.513.59196581.5
INSA2,00420.523138.51854.57.52.5
INSA2,00420.521148.5176.557.50.5
INSA2,010202214.58.516.5657.52
INSA2,008202214916.564.582
INSA2,006212115816.564.58Tie
INSA2,004202114.59166.54.58.51
INSA2,0082120.51581674.580.5
INSA2,005202215.58165.54.58.52
INSA2,007202215.57.51664.58.52
INSA2,00420.52316815.55482.5
INSA2,00621.522157.5166570.5
INSA2,00221.52215.57.5166.5470.5
INSA2,0072023.515.57.515.56573.5
INSA2,01020.523.515.57.515.564.573
INSA2,00621.52415.5715.5556.52.5
INSA2,0052021167.516757.51
INSA2,008212016815.5757.51
INSA2,00720.521167.5157.557.50.5
INSA2,00920.52216.57.51564.581.5
INSA2,006212116.57.515757Tie
INSA2,006202117.57.5156581
INSA2,010202117.57.51564.58.51
INSA2,005212217.57.514.55.54.57.51
INSA2,0072021.518715.574.56.51.5
INSA2,00820.52217714.56581.5
INSA2,006212117.5715657.5Tie
INSA2,0042022177.515657.52
INSA2,01020.52117.57156.54.580.5
INSA2,007212117.5814.564.57.5Tie
INSA2,00920.5201891564.570.5
INSA2,00720.520.517.58.51564.57.5Tie
INSA2,00019.520.518.57.515.574.571
INSA2,00519.520.5197.515756.51
INSA2,0081921.518.581565.56.52.5
INSA2,1021821.519.581565.56.52
INSA2,08018.522197.5146.55.573
INSA2,039182220813.565.572
INSA2,004182220.57.513.565.571.5
INSA2,1381922.520.581355.56.52
INSA2,09118.522217.51365.56.51
INSA2,146192222812656Tie
INSA2,099182121.5812.565.57.50.5
INSA2,14418.520.5228126581.5
INSA2,04318.521.5228125580.5
INSA2,06218.521.52281254.58.50.5
INSA2,0442021.5218.5115.54.580.5
INSA2,0661923219.511547.52
INSA2,101202221.5910.55480.5
INSA2,06319.521219.510748Tie
INSA2,0822021.5219.510.563.580.5
INSA2,0552021.521.59.510.55.53.58Tie
INSA2,0562220.520.58.5106.53.58.51.5
INSA2,1002222208.510.56.537.5Tie
INSA2,14721.52320.59115371.5
INSA2,08622.521191010.56.53.571.5
INSA2,1462321199.510.564.56.52
INSA2,056242018911.56.54.56.54
INSA2,07323.5201991164.573.5
INSA2,061252017.591174.565
INSA2,063252117.510.510.554.564
INSA2,070252116.51010.555.56.54
INSA2,12224.520.516.5111164.564
INSA2,0732519.515.510.510.56585.5
INSA2,103251915.51110.55.567.56
INSA1,539232214.512.5115661
INSA2,14122.521151212566.51.5
INSA2,06723201512116763
INSA2,14724201512.51056.574
INSA2,14626191511.511566.57
INSA2,130261715.512125.566.59
INSA2,10726.518151212556.58.5
INSA2,06026.51715.51111.5666.59.5
INSA2,07527.51714.51311.54.55.56.510.5
INSA2,221271714.51311.555.56.510
INSA2,11926171513.511.555.56.59
INSA2,129251716141145.57.58
INSA2,096261814141145.57.58
INSA2,0912716.5151311.54.55.5710.5
INSA2,11226.516.51613.510.545.57.510
INSA2,105281616141145612
INSA2,1402813.5161511.555612
INSA2,10128.5141614.5115.546.512.5
INSA2,000281515.513.51064.57.512.5
2021 federal election25.719.014.711.410.45.24.92.46.36.8

Scenario polls

New party scenarios

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDUnionGrüneFDPAfDLinkeFWBSWOthersDon't KnowLead
Wahlkreisprognose1,500241328.511.5623.53266.55
Wahlkreisprognose1,2002514.52812.55.523.53674.5
INSA1,004172413517231457
INSA1,005152912517414212
Wahlkreisprognose1,3002415.526.512.55.51831368.5
INSA2,00415.526.512.55.51841268.5
INSA2,00317231461631566
YouGov2,317514251251952596
Wahlkreisprognose1,4192522261441321454
Wahlkreisprognose1,70020241771131084
Boris Palmer list

Leadership scenarios

Friedrich Merz as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDUnionGrüneFDPAfDLinkeFWBSWOthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose1,20015.526.510524.536.592
Wahlkreisprognose1,52522.520146.5204582.5
Boris Pistorius as SPD chancellor candidate
Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDUnionGrüneFDPAfDLinkeFWBSWOthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose1,200242394232781
Wahlkreisprognose1,52527.51713.56203.539.57.5
Hendrik Wüst as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Markus Söder as CDU/CSU chancellor candidate
Sahra Wagenknecht as Linke lead candidate

Other scenarios

National-wide CSU
CDU/CSU open for cooperation with AfD

By state

Bavaria

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
CSUSPDGrüneFDPAfDFree VotersLinkeOthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose1,94433181561282615
Forsa1,04936122288-21214
Forsa1,2353414218872613
2021 federal election31.718.014.110.59.07.52.86.413.7

Brandenburg

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDAfDCDUFDPGrüneLinkeBSWOthersLead
Forsa1,0071733204863913
Wahlkreisprognose1,100252514512.599.5Tie
Wahlkreisprognose1,00135.516.515.54145.5919
2021 federal election29.518.115.39.39.08.510.311.4

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDAfDCDULinkeFDPGrüneBSWOthersLead
Infratest dimap1,17719232368129Tie
Forsa1,0051527236371364
Forsa1,0021532228385710
Infratest dimap1,182213221748711
Forsa1,00420232211410101
Infratest dimap1,168252420104981
Infratest dimap1,183251823951282
Forsa1,001291621106998
2021 federal election29.118.017.411.18.27.88.411.1

North Rhine-Westphalia

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDCDUGrüneFDPAfDLinkeBSWOthersLead
Forsa1,06018341351425916
Forsa1,50218321651434814
Forsa1,506233015715377
Forsa1,0052232186104810
Forsa1,511213022610479
Wahlkreisprognose1,04025.5252288.5380.5
Forsa1,00825302566265
Forsa2,006282518108473
Forsa2,009292318127476
2021 federal election29.126.016.111.47.33.76.53.1

Rhineland-Palatinate

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDCDUGrüneFDPAfDLinkeOthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose1,0423030.519551.590.5
2021 federal election29.424.712.611.79.23.39.24.7

Saxony

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
AfDSPDCDULinkeFDPGrüneBSWOthersLead
Forsa1,507369236484713
2021 federal election24.619.317.29.311.08.69.95.3

Saxony-Anhalt

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDCDUAfDLinkeFDPGrüneBSWOthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose1,0001220285551788
Wahlkreisprognose1,00521.521.519.5137.57.59.5Tie
2021 federal election25.421.019.69.69.56.58.44.4

Schleswig-Holstein

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDCDUGrüneFDPAfDLinkeOthersLead
Wahlkreisprognose2,0002822.5221064.575.5
2021 federal election28.022.018.312.56.83.68.76.0

Thuringia

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
AfDSPDCDULinkeFDPGrüneBSWOthersLead
Forsa1,2533612239363813
Wahlkreisprognose1,0163219.518.58.557.5912.5
Wahlkreisprognose99422.52718868.5104.5
2021 federal election24.023.416.911.49.06.58.70.6

By West and East Germany

West Germany

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDUnionGrüneFDPAfDLinkeFWBSWOthersLead
INSA2,008 in all of Germany16321251628916
YouGov2,295 in all of Germany153212416327816
INSA2,000 in all of Germany1634135203914
Forsa2,505 in all of Germany19301671351011
INSA2,102 in all of Germany192821812579
2021 federal election26.125.615.911.98.23.78.60.5

East Germany

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPDAfDCDULinkeFDPGrüneBSWOthersLead
INSA2,008 in all of Germany1128225561586
YouGov2,295 in all of Germany10261952101987
INSA2,000 in all of Germany123624748912
Verian830 in East Germany123224949108
Forsa2,505 in all of Germany16322386699
INSA7,618 in all of Germany202623981043
INSA2,102 in all of Germany152726871431
2021 federal election24.120.516.810.49.59.29.53.6

Chancellor polling

These polls were conducted before the announcement of each party's candidate for Chancellor; they gauged opinion on various politicians who were considered to be plausible candidates for their respective parties.

Scholz vs. Merz

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Merz
Neither
Forsa2,503262648
Forsa2,502272746
INSA1,004233542
Forsa2,500282844
Forsa2,501272746
Forsa2,504262945
Forsa2,503262945
Forsa2,504252847
Forsa2,506272845
Forsa2,505272944
Forsa2,504283042
Forsa2,505302842
Forsa2,506312841
Forsa2,503333136
Wahlkreisprognose2,500263143
Forsa1,503322939
Wahlkreisprognose1,300262648
Wahlkreisprognose1,300232552
INSA1,001212851
Wahlkreisprognose1,366213247
Forsa1,502272845
INSA1,004232651
Wahlkreisprognose1,500173449
INSA1,001171865
Forsa2,501363232
Wahlkreisprognose1,200192952
Wahlkreisprognose1,300252451
Wahlkreisprognose1,200272449
INSA1,001231562
Wahlkreisprognose1,200232057
Wahlkreisprognose1,525262450
Wahlkreisprognose1,399312148
INSA1,003251659
Wahlkreisprognose1,100282745
Wahlkreisprognose1,400363034
Wahlkreisprognose1,200332146
Wahlkreisprognose1,419332047
Wahlkreisprognose1,421331948
Wahlkreisprognose1,500292546
Wahlkreisprognose1,500382141
Wahlkreisprognose1,300372142
Wahlkreisprognose1,910362440
Wahlkreisprognose1,923362935
Wahlkreisprognose1,700362440
Wahlkreisprognose1,433401347
Wahlkreisprognose2,920421345
Wahlkreisprognose1,400461638
Forsa2,501401842
Forsa2,503431740
Forsa2,502431740
Forsa2,500421939
Wahlkreisprognose2,430461539
Forsa2,504392041
Forsa2,511382141
Wahlkreisprognose1,603461638
Forsa2,002412039
Wahlkreisprognose1,500451837
Forsa2,004392041
Forsa2,505411940
INSA1,003261559
Wahlkreisprognose1,302422632
Forsa2,502421939
Wahlkreisprognose1,610462628
Forsa2,501421840
Forsa2,508431938
Forsa2,507421840
Wahlkreisprognose1,007451639
Forsa1,501431839
Forsa2,500421840
Wahlkreisprognose2,450511732
Forsa2,508431839
Forsa2,507422038
Forsa2,501442036
Wahlkreisprognose3,92351.521.527
Forsa2,502461935
Forsa2,501481933
Forsa1,500452035
Wahlkreisprognose2,030491932
Forsa2,500422038
Wahlkreisprognose1,220432532
Forsa2,504402139
Forsa2,502402238
Wahlkreisprognose2,330423127
Forsa2,501432136
Forsa2,502481933
Forsa2,504481735
Wahlkreisprognose1,030541927
Forsa3,003491833
Forsa2,501501832
Wahlkreisprognose1,120552025
Forsa2,509451837
Forsa2,501451936
Forsa2,510461935
Wahlkreisprognose1,004442135
Forsa2,502521731

Scholz vs. Söder

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Söder
Neither
INSA1,004234136
Forsa1,503303634
Forsa1,502274033
INSA1,004203644
INSA1,001263242
INSA1,003303139
INSA1,003322939
Wahlkreisprognose1,120492823
Forsa2,502393328
Forsa2,503373330

Scholz vs. Wüst

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Wüst
Neither
INSA1,004232651
Forsa1,503282844
Forsa1,502253639
INSA1,003291853
INSA1,003321454

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Habeck

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Merz
Habeck
Neither
INSA1,25017311636
Forsa2,00117261839
Forsa2,00617251741
Forsa2,00018231742
Forsa2,50517231743
Forsa2,50117221645
Forsa2,50517221645
INSA1,00320301436
Forsa2,50618211744
Forsa1,50819221742
Forsa2,50318221743
Forsa2,50016211845
Forsa2,50215211945
Forsa2,50615231844
Forsa2,50315251842
Forsa2,50414241844
Forsa2,50215231943
Forsa2,50312251944
Forsa2,50612241945
Forsa2,50313251745
Forsa2,50415241546
Forsa2,50215241546
Forsa15251743
Forsa2,50115241843
Forsa2,50115241843
Forsa2,50116241842
Forsa2,50017221942
Forsa2,50119211842
Forsa2,50419221841
Forsa2,50220211742
Forsa2,50120201644
Forsa2,50420211544
Forsa2,50119201744
Forsa2,00322201642
Forsa2,00422201642
Forsa2,50322201642
Forsa2,50421191644
Forsa2,50521191644
Forsa2,50621201643
Forsa2,50421191545
Forsa2,50621191545
Forsa2,50121181546
Forsa2,50221171646
Forsa2,50022181743
Forsa2,50423201641
Forsa2,50223201740
Forsa2,00322201642
Forsa2,50121201643
Forsa2,50623201641
Forsa2,50325201540
Forsa2,50425211539
Forsa2,50525231438
Forsa2,00125231438
Forsa2,00326221339
Forsa2,50324231439
Forsa2,50524221539
Wahlkreisprognose1,4003126835
Forsa2,00723221639
Forsa2,50622241638
Forsa2,50823251735
Forsa1,50121231838
Forsa2,50223211739
Forsa2,50624221836
Wahlkreisprognose1,20029181340
Forsa2,50326211736
Forsa2,50527211735
Forsa2,50425201936
Wahlkreisprognose1,41927171145
Forsa2,50127191935
Forsa2,51025201936
Forsa2,50527202033
Forsa2,50226202034
Forsa2,50325212034
Wahlkreisprognose1,42126161246
Forsa2,50223212135
Wahlkreisprognose1,50022211542
Forsa2,50022202038
Forsa2,50221202039
Forsa2,50323192038
Forsa2,50624191938
Wahlkreisprognose1,50024221341
Forsa2,50022202038
Forsa2,50523202037
Forsa2,50222202038
Forsa2,50321202039
Wahlkreisprognose1,30025221340
Forsa2,50222191940
Forsa2,50323191939
Forsa2,50224191839
Wahlkreisprognose1,91028191538
Forsa2,50523191939
Forsa2,50124181741
Wahlkreisprognose1,92328251433
Forsa2,00122201741
Forsa2,50522221739
Wahlkreisprognose1,70029251531
Forsa2,50623221837
Forsa2,50121202138
Wahlkreisprognose1,30030241531
INSA1,00024231934
Forsa2,50021182536
Forsa2,50320162737
Forsa2,50520162539
INSA1,00218192538
Wahlkreisprognose1,43336133021
Forsa2,50022162636
Wahlkreisprognose2,92032152825
Forsa2,50424162733
Forsa2,50423182831
INSA1,00224182137
Forsa2,51025173028
Wahlkreisprognose1,40039113218
Forsa2,00226173126
Wahlkreisprognose2,43040133116
Wahlkreisprognose1,60338132722
Wahlkreisprognose1,50035142921
Wahlkreisprognose1,30237212517
Wahlkreisprognose1,61038212417

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Merz
Baerbock
Weidel
Wagenknecht
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose2,5001418913937
Wahlkreisprognose1,300151810111234
Wahlkreisprognose1,300131710121137
Wahlkreisprognose1,366111910141036
Wahlkreisprognose1,50010221118831
Wahlkreisprognose1,2001619917831
Wahlkreisprognose1,30018169141330

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Merz
Baerbock
Neither
Forsa2,00120291734
Forsa2,00620281537
Forsa2,00021261637
Forsa2,50521261637
Forsa2,50120251639
Forsa2,50520251738
INSA1,00318321733
Forsa1,50621241639
Forsa1,50822251637
Forsa2,50321251638
Forsa2,50019241740
Forsa2,50218241939
Forsa2,50618261739
Forsa2,50318271837
Forsa2,50417271838
Forsa2,50218261838
Forsa2,50316281838
Forsa2,50615281740
Forsa2,50316281640
Forsa2,50417271541
Forsa2,50217271541
Forsa18281737
Forsa2,50119271737
Forsa2,50118281737
Forsa2,50119271737
Forsa2,50019251739
Forsa2,50122241638
Forsa2,50422251637
Forsa2,50223241637
Forsa2,50122231738
Forsa2,50423231737
Forsa2,50122221838
Forsa2,00323221837
Forsa2,00424221737
Forsa2,50324221836
Forsa2,50423211739
Forsa2,50523221738
Forsa2,50622221739
Forsa2,50422211740
Forsa2,50622211641
Forsa2,50122201642
Forsa2,50222191841
Forsa2,50024211837
Forsa2,50425231735
Forsa2,50225221835
Forsa2,00324221836
Forsa2,50123231935
Forsa2,50624231934
Forsa2,50326231932
Forsa2,50426231932
Forsa2,50526251930
Forsa2,00127251929
Forsa2,00327241831
Forsa2,50325251832
Forsa2,50526241832
Wahlkreisprognose1,40030251332
Forsa2,00725251931
Forsa2,50624261931
Forsa2,50825271830
Forsa1,50124251932
Forsa2,50224232033
Forsa2,50626242030
Wahlkreisprognose1,20028181440
Forsa2,50328241929
Forsa2,50528231831
Forsa2,50428231930
Wahlkreisprognose1,41926171443
Forsa2,50130221830
Forsa2,51028221931
Forsa2,50530221929
Forsa2,50230221830
Forsa2,50327231931
Wahlkreisprognose1,42126151544
Forsa2,50225242229
Wahlkreisprognose1,50023232034
Forsa2,50024232330
Forsa2,50224232231
Forsa2,50324222133
Forsa2,50624222232
Wahlkreisprognose1,50026181541
Forsa2,50024222232
Forsa2,50524222232
Forsa2,50225222231
Forsa2,50324222232
Wahlkreisprognose1,30027171442
Forsa2,50224212035
Forsa2,50325202035
Forsa2,50225201936
Wahlkreisprognose1,91029211634
Forsa2,50524212134
Forsa2,50125202035
Wahlkreisprognose1,92328241632
Forsa2,00123221936
Forsa2,50523231935
Wahlkreisprognose1,70028241731
Forsa2,50623232034
Forsa2,50123232034
Forsa2,50023212333
Forsa2,50323192434
Forsa2,50526172334
Forsa2,50029172232
Wahlkreisprognose1,61038202319
Wahlkreisprognose1,00737132426

Pistorius vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel vs. Wagenknecht

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Pistorius
Merz
Baerbock
Weidel
Wagenknecht
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose1,300271812111121
Wahlkreisprognose1,200311210161021

Pistorius vs. Merz

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Pistorius
Merz
Neither
INSA1,004252352
Wahlkreisprognose1,500322840
Wahlkreisprognose1,200302941
Wahlkreisprognose1,200411841

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Baerbock vs. Weidel

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Merz
Baerbock
Weidel
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose1.2002016151831
Forsa2.506252319924

Scholz vs. Merz vs. Weidel

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Merz
Weidel
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose1,20021151747
Wahlkreisprognose1,52524181642
Wahlkreisprognose1,39927151543
Wahlkreisprognose1,10025221637
Wahlkreisprognose1,40034221133
Wahlkreisprognose1,20033181336
Wahlkreisprognose1,41931151341
Wahlkreisprognose1,42130141442
Wahlkreisprognose1,50024171643
Wahlkreisprognose1,50031181338
Wahlkreisprognose1,30026181739

Scholz vs. Habeck

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Habeck
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose1,433363232
Wahlkreisprognose2,920383329

Merz vs. Habeck

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Merz
Habeck
Neither
Wahlkreisprognose1,433193051
Wahlkreisprognose2,920183250

Scholz vs. Röttgen

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Röttgen
Neither
Forsa2,509451936
Forsa2,501452035
Forsa2,510452134
Wahlkreisprognose1,004412039
Forsa2,502512029

Scholz vs. Braun

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Braun
Neither
Forsa2,509501139
Forsa2,501501238
Wahlkreisprognose1,004422236

Scholz vs. Laschet

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
Scholz
Laschet
Neither
YouGov2,16746648
Forsa2,50150842
Forsa2,51052840
Forsa2,50253839
Forsa2,50352840
Forsa3,00452939
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,249761311
Infratest dimap1,084621622
Forsa1,006561133
YouGov1,596431343

Scholz vs. Kretschmer

Preferred coalition

Polling firmFieldwork dateSample
size
SPD
Grüne
Union
FDP
SPD
Grüne
FDP
Union
SPD
Union
Grüne
Union
Grüne
FDP
Union
SPD
FDP
SPD
Grüne
Linke
SPD
FDP
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,33415101 colspan="2"17721
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,34112131 colspan="2"1882
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,1869112 colspan="2"17921
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,3349102 colspan="2"19811
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,24713101 colspan="2"23722
Forsa1,00710 colspan="2"2110411
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,228 colspan="2"17132 colspan="2"17721
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,25411112 colspan="2"20821
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,29612112 colspan="2"20821
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,2601591 colspan="2"20721
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,29412132 colspan="2"18921
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,2171092 colspan="2"23811
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,3371381 colspan="2"19721
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,14613142 colspan="2"16611
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,24215101 colspan="2"19821
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,2341692 colspan="2"171021
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,25213101 colspan="2"18821
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,201 colspan="2"1813314731
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,288 colspan="2"1611315622
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,34614113 colspan="2"15841
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,37917102 colspan="2"19631
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,224 colspan="2"19113 colspan="2"19621
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,25715113 colspan="2"17741
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,225 colspan="2"1613315731
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,266 colspan="2"1912216921
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,379 colspan="2"1812315722
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,146 colspan="2"2111414922
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,165 colspan="2"19102171022
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,361 colspan="2"18103131231
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,345 colspan="2"20105101121
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,259 colspan="2"1911412932
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,365 colspan="2"21114111122
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,273 colspan="2"2112312921
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,310 colspan="2"2493111132
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,389 colspan="2"2311311922
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,355 colspan="2"2011510932
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,299 colspan="2"1813610933
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,389 colspan="2"1986101341
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,167 colspan="2"197581421
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,186 colspan="2"2285111521
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,133 colspan="2"2076101533
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,162 colspan="2"2287101621
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,170 colspan="2"21101010742
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,230 colspan="2"238914742
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,345 colspan="2"18111215534
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,103 colspan="2"1711912553
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,224 colspan="2"16131115542
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,249 colspan="2"1611119643
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,128 colspan="2"16111210455
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen1,303 colspan="2"16101210644

Constituency projections

Direct mandates

Polling firmRelease dateUnionSPDGrüneAfDLinkeFDPBSW
election.de227221038200
INSA2506438100
INSA2548433000
INSA2718317000
INSA2565333200
election.de222211341200
INSA2584729100
INSA2555732000
INSA25861123100
INSA2784512000
INSA2587529000
election.de218301237200
INSA26713910000
INSA2619621200
INSA27171011000
INSA261101117000
Wahlkreisprognose24623623100
election.de217281438200
INSA25871123000
INSA25061031200
INSA231101245100
INSA24361038200
election.de213301242200
INSA25591322000
INSA25951122200
INSA26081219000
INSA24061043000
Wahlkreisprognose21243735100
INSA25710922100
election.de210291444200
INSA25031034200
INSA26241122000
INSA26161319000
Wahlkreisprognose2358648002
INSA24541039100
election.de214271244200
INSA24241042100
INSA24091139000
INSA24361040000
Wahlkreisprognose21923648102
INSA25241033000
election.de217201348100
INSA2434843100
INSA2536634000
Wahlkreisprognose2304461000
INSA24441039200
INSA2423746100
INSA24451039100
election.de217201348100
INSA23091148100
INSA22591450100
Wahlkreisprognose22114460000
INSA24361039100
INSA237121335200
election.de203311647200
INSA233121340100
INSA231141438200
INSA242101036100
Wahlkreisprognose220237310018
INSA230151339200
INSA210241153100
election.de190431747200
INSA202231756100
INSA200401641200
Wahlkreisprognose153622162100
INSA199321551200
INSA198312048200
INSA194301856100
INSA198331749200
election.de185491647200
INSA194302350200
Wahlkreisprognose151781257100
INSA194351950100
election.de181511847200
INSA189491643200
INSA200531729000
election.de183481947200
INSA198411741200
Wahlkreisprognose154791351200
INSA201441834200
election.de188461646300
INSA208301940200
INSA210411927200
election.de184491746300
INSA190462338200
INSA197431641200
Wahlkreisprognose139821957200
election.de189481643300
INSA194471541200
INSA215471520200
election.de190481642300
INSA214471719200
Wahlkreisprognose168851232200
INSA227481310100
election.de196491635300
INSA217511811200
INSA22941199100
election.de196491635300
INSA225422010200
INSA207512217200
Wahlkreisprognose182751029300
election.de196491833300
INSA218441917100
INSA216481915100
election.de191541932300
INSA212462317100
INSA22148199200
election.de191541932300
INSA214492510100
Wahlkreisprognose159991424300
INSA22454173100
election.de185601932300
INSA217512010100
election.de193561829300
INSA233371810100
Wahlkreisprognose192731122100
INSA24336190100
election.de191571929300
INSA22351240100
INSA22845231200
election.de178612532300
INSA203502717200
INSA216392319200
election.de181592729300
Wahlkreisprognose1341092330300
INSA211492611200
Wahlkreisprognose149932233200
INSA22346254100
election.de181572929300
INSA21245319200
INSA21648323000
election.de179612927300
INSA21450303200
election.de182543129300
INSA21445317200
Wahlkreisprognose1461002031200
INSA21950271200
election.de180553229300
INSA21252330200
INSA210442815200
election.de177553232300
INSA21549304100
Wahlkreisprognose1411131824300
INSA20550339200
election.de174573332300
INSA20351367200
election.de174573332300
Wahlkreisprognose145962431300
INSA21940363100
INSA21238388200
election.de177543332300
Wahlkreisprognose149991731300
INSA21935395100
INSA209303919200
election.de180553328300
Wahlkreisprognose1501021926200
INSA211283717200
INSA21835423100
Wahlkreisprognose154902230300
election.de177593823200
INSA209244419300
INSA206374212200
election.de177604119200
INSA214284510200
Wahlkreisprognose140735530100
INSA203334813200
election.de174614319200
Wahlkreisprognose146496934100
INSA21529503200
INSA196325118200
election.de171664218200
INSA196325118200
Wahlkreisprognose136895221100
INSA197345115200
election.de174693915200
INSA20543463200
Wahlkreisprognose145944514100
INSA21637431200
election.de175703814200
INSA21242450000
Wahlkreisprognose144983718200
INSA21632463200
election.de177703713200
INSA194444515100
Wahlkreisprognose144943324400
INSA20343475100
election.de178713612200
Wahlkreisprognose168625711100
INSA20449440200
INSA21348371000
election.de157973112200
Wahlkreisprognose162893413100
INSA202464010100
Wahlkreisprognose1381004515100
INSA20952333200
election.de1451102813300
INSA19962351200
INSA18277308200
Wahlkreisprognose1211283613100
election.de1441152413300
INSA18274374200
INSA17983278200
election.de1441162313300
Wahlkreisprognose1281342511100
INSA18486271100
INSA165932216300
election.de1611041912300
INSA19274273300
Wahlkreisprognose1321332310100
election.de1501151912300
Wahlkreisprognose1281312216200
election.de1591031816300
INSA21366162200
Wahlkreisprognose1431172016300
INSA20371203200
election.de1581031817300
INSA19681191200
Wahlkreisprognose195632810300
INSA178100180300
election.de1331212021400
INSA146129192300
Wahlkreisprognose1241391716300
INSA125140239200
election.de1291291919300
INSA128142198200
INSA1181371923200
election.de1111482017300
INSA1081601711300
Wahlkreisprognose1021671215300
election.de1091492018300
INSA1141531712300
Wahlkreisprognose751762421300
INSA1181452013300
election.de1111432219400
INSA1121402713700
Wahlkreisprognose1231401617300
INSA1221471512300
election.de1031532019400
INSA991602017200
INSA110158235300
Wahlkreisprognose1251371618300
election.de1011562018400
INSA841762114310
election.de1011542020400
Wahlkreisprognose1131452018300
election.de1081482019400
INSA941632119200
2021 federal election1431211616300

By probability

Polling firmRelease dateUnionSPDGrüneAfDLinke
SafeLikelyLeanSafeLikelyLeanSafeLikelyLeanSafeLikelyLeanSafeLikelyLean
election.de1255844151612711918011
election.de1225842141613921821011
election.de1136144162314711917011
election.de1185544152215811918011
election.de1146237162313831920011
election.de1116138152314952217011
election.de1136239142212952514011
election.de10671401415121092811010
election.de1076842141513992712010
election.de94723716241411112511011
election.de69833811131151117246011
election.de65784221631151016238011
election.de63744422326151216229011
election.de66744321729171116229011
election.de73744111827151092611012
election.de71734021829161092512012
election.de78714021828151072214102
election.de85703511631151022416102
election.de88634521829151011717111
election.de8962452182916911618111
election.de91624311731161111517111
election.de85644221834171111417111
election.de82634622032171111516111
election.de77654322632161211417111
election.de83624822331171011315111
election.de80634822530171111315111
election.de66664652630191511417111
election.de69704232531191711315111
election.de677044325293111511315111
election.de676844424333111511313111
election.de716744226263111711315111
election.de667143324283121711315111
election.de677040225283121711417111
election.de617142424293131711417111
election.de617043324303131711417111
election.de676941225273131711417111
election.de667044225283131701414111
election.de587148421344142001013110
election.de57675342135517190811110
election.de53695242235520180811110
election.de52645542834417210810110
election.de52645843332415200510101
election.de51665853332413210311101
election.de54645953530313210112101
election.de53675853630313200111101
election.de47515912444121217048101
election.de44524915445121016058102
election.de4651471546542913067111
election.de4651471643572813067102
election.de5151591246462413057111
election.de4851511544562413048111
election.de5350561242492313079111
election.de49515812444723130710111
election.de41504222425726120912112
election.de37504227445825120910111
election.de3041403157602513179102
election.de30413833585825131710111
election.de27424228556028121108112
election.de26393835556325131810112
election.de2535414057592612198103
election.de26354039546125131109112
election.de2842383059592513199112
2021 federal election14312116163

Second place

Polling firmRelease dateSPDUnionGrüneAfDLinkeFDPFW
election.de126673866200
election.de122713866200
election.de123744159200
election.de117744858200
election.de118793962100
election.de113803966100
election.de111753676100
election.de102723488300
election.de105723783200
election.de105813279200
election.de106842978200
election.de108893070200
election.de112913064200
election.de111903264200
election.de116863462100
election.de118893457100
election.de120853756100
election.de123873850100
election.de130824442100
election.de132824539100
election.de135834337100
election.de132874435100
election.de132874435100
election.de133924527200
election.de136864728200
election.de137874528200
election.de137924424200
election.de128925225200
election.de127915524200
election.de126925425200
election.de125915724200
election.de123925824200
election.de121955922200
election.de123955722200
election.de122945922200
election.de119956221200
election.de118926423200
election.de117907216400
election.de116887418300
election.de117907315400
election.de122897113400
election.de124877014400
election.de124886914400
election.de129886513400
election.de132876511400
election.de128995514300
election.de1271144313200
election.de1271134213400
election.de1271144213300
election.de1351024215410
election.de1301124112400
election.de1351093515400
election.de1371033816400
election.de1221204013400
election.de1201253613410
election.de1111353512420
election.de1101353414420
election.de1041264617420
election.de1041334115420
election.de1081284117320
election.de1031304019520
election.de1071293918420
2021 federal election1291153314422

External links